Sport Picks

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Arda vs Cherno More

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Arena Arda, Kardzhali
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Panayotov V.
56'
Martin D.
59'
Sub
Zlatev N. In: Lazarov G.
Out: Zlatev N.

AI Match Summary

The efbet League 2025/2026 game between Arda and Cherno More finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Arda
15%
Draws
26%
Cherno More
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arda come out ahead of Cherno More on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Arda's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Arda Clean Sheet 68%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arda Cherno More
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Arda
2:3
May 3, 2026 efbet League
Arda vs Cherno More
0:0
Mar 4, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Arda
0:0
Dec 12, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Cherno More vs Arda
0:3
Sep 22, 2025 efbet League
Arda vs Cherno More
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arda 77 / 100
Cherno More 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arda Cherno More

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arda's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Arda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cherno More's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Arda VS Cherno More
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arda

(Home)
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1
Arda
17 Aug
Arda
3 : 1
Lok. Sofia
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Cherno More

(Away)
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1
Cherno More
21 Aug
Cherno More
3 : 1
Dunav Ruse
14 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
4 : 1
Cherno More
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
5 Lok. Plovdiv 36 14 13 9 36:41 55
6 Arda 36 15 9 12 42:34 54
7 Cherno More 36 14 12 10 40:34 54
8 Botev Plovdiv 36 13 7 16 49:45 46
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)