Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arda vs Cherno More

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Arena Arda
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Panayotov V.
56'
Martin D.
59'
Sub
Zlatev N. In: Lazarov G.
Out: Zlatev N.

AI Match Summary

The efbet League 2025/2026 game between Arda and Cherno More finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Arda
44%
Draws
20%
Cherno More
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arda come out ahead of Cherno More on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Arda Clean Sheet 22%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arda Cherno More
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Arda
2:3
May 3, 2026 efbet League
Arda vs Cherno More
0:0
Mar 4, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Arda
0:0
Dec 12, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Cherno More vs Arda
0:3
Sep 22, 2025 efbet League
Arda vs Cherno More
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arda 37 / 100
Cherno More 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arda Cherno More

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arda's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Arda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cherno More's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Arda VS Cherno More
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
5Lok. Plovdiv361413936:4155
6Arda361591242:3454
7Cherno More3614121040:3454
8Botev Plovdiv361371649:4546