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Arda vs Levski Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Arena Arda, Kardzhali
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arda host Levski Sofia in the efbet League. This one's hard to separate. Levski Sofia have shipped 0.65 goals a game lately, while Arda have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.27. Past meetings favor Levski Sofia slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 9, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.56) back Levski Sofia to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Arda
20%
Draws
51%
Levski Sofia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Levski Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Levski Sofia have won more games recently than Arda.
  • Win probability leans Arda's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Arda Clean Sheet 15%
Levski Sofia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arda Levski Sofia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 20
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.27 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Arda
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 efbet League
Arda vs Levski Sofia
0:3
May 14, 2025 efbet League
Arda vs Levski Sofia
0:3
Apr 26, 2025 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Arda
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 efbet League
Arda vs Levski Sofia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arda 35 / 100
Levski Sofia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arda Levski Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arda found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Levski Sofia has conceded goals in 42% of their last 31 outings.

Arda went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arda VS Levski Sofia
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arda

(Home)
02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0
Arda
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
Page 1 of 6

Levski Sofia

(Away)
17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1
Salzburg
13 Sept
Botev Vratsa
0 : 0
Levski Sofia
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4
CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
02 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10:15 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Lok. Sofia 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Lok. Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5:13 7
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)