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Arda vs Rakovski 2011

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2017/2018 Arena Arda, Kardzhali
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2017/2018 game between Arda and Rakovski 2011 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Arda
15%
Draws
39%
Rakovski 2011
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Arda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Arda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Arda Clean Sheet 20%
Rakovski 2011 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arda Rakovski 2011
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 2
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.23 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2018 Third League - South-East
Arda vs Rakovski 2011
3:0
Nov 4, 2017 Third League - South-East
Rakovski 2011 vs Arda
0:4
Mar 4, 2017 Third League - South-East
Arda vs Rakovski 2011
3:1
Aug 20, 2016 Third League - South-East
Rakovski 2011 vs Arda
3:0
May 27, 2012 Third League - South-East
Rakovski 2011 vs Arda
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arda 85 / 100
Rakovski 2011 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arda Rakovski 2011

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rakovski 2011 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Arda found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Arda has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arda VS Rakovski 2011
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 3.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Arda

(Home)
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1
Arda
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Rakovski 2011

(Away)
27 May
Sozopol
4 : 1
Rakovski 2011
23 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 5
Yambol 1915
16 May
Rakovski 2011
0 : 1
Sekirovo Rakovski
13 May
OFC Haskovo
2 : 3
Rakovski 2011
09 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arda 34 30 4 0 142:7 94
2 Zagorets 34 22 5 7 67:27 71
3 Radnevo 34 17 8 9 63:34 59
4 Rozova Dolina 34 17 6 11 64:41 57
5 Atletik Kuklen 34 17 5 12 55:51 56
6 Sokol Markovo 34 16 5 13 63:49 53
7 Karnobat 34 16 4 14 65:50 52
8 Levski Karlovo 34 16 3 15 51:58 51
9 Borislav Parvomay 34 15 5 14 65:62 50
10 Asenovets 34 14 7 13 53:55 49
11 Dimitrovgrad 34 15 3 16 46:62 48
12 Gigant Saedinenie 34 12 7 15 33:53 43
13 Svilengrad 1921 34 13 4 17 52:89 43
14 Evrokolezh 34 12 6 16 63:71 42
15 Yambol 1915 34 11 5 18 62:59 38
16 Rakovski 2011 34 11 2 21 44:65 35
17 Vereya 2 34 10 3 21 45:88 33
18 Yagoda 34 0 2 32 15:127 2
Promotion - Vtora liga 2018/2019 (Main)