Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ardal vs Forde

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Rognebakke E.
55' Event
Bergset J. F.
90' Event
Hallstensen T.

AI Match Summary

Forde in this Division 3 - Group 1 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Forde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ardal
20%
Draws
38%
Forde
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ardal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Forde lately — more wins on the board than Ardal.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Ardal taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Forde have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ardal Clean Sheet 16%
Forde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ardal Forde
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 1 2
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 2.07 2.47
Goals Conceded 3.47 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Ardal vs Forde
0:5
Jun 22, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Forde vs Ardal
2:1
Sep 1, 2012 Division 3 - Group 8
Ardal vs Forde
2:1
May 19, 2012 Division 3 - Group 8
Forde vs Ardal
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ardal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Forde Compare

Top Goalscorer Rognebakke E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bergset J. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ardal 48 / 100
Forde 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ardal Forde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ardal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forde has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Ardal scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Ardal has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Forde
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Ardal

(Home)
27 Oct
Ardal
0 : 4
Sandviken
20 Oct
Askoy
3 : 0
Ardal
05 Oct
Ardal
11 : 2
Asane 2
28 Sept
Djerv 1919
3 : 4
Ardal
21 Sept
Ardal
6 : 1
Floro
Page 1 of 6

Forde

(Away)
08 Aug
Forde
7 : 0
Brann 2
03 Aug
Sogndal 2
3 : 3
Forde
25 Jul
Forde
1 : 1
Austevoll
27 Jun
Askoy
2 : 0
Forde
22 Jun
Forde
4 : 0
Asane 2
Page 1 of 6