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Stadium Background

Ards Rangers vs Oxford Stars Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oxford Stars in this Irish Cup 2015/2016 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ards Rangers
15%
Draws
64%
Oxford Stars
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oxford Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Ards Rangers at 2.86 per game, Oxford Stars at 1.8.
  • Oxford Stars are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Oxford Stars, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Ards Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Oxford Stars Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ards Rangers Oxford Stars
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 1 1
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 2.86 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2015 Irish Cup
Ards Rangers vs Oxford Stars
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ards Rangers 22 / 100
Oxford Stars 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ards Rangers Oxford Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oxford Stars Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ards Rangers's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Oxford Stars conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Oxford Stars's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ards Rangers VS Oxford Stars
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ards Rangers

(Home)
15 Jul
Ards Rangers
1 : 1
Ballymacash
28 Jun
Ards Rangers
1 : 2
Bangor FC
20 Jul
Ards Rangers
0 : 4
Ards
08 Jan
Ballinamallard
2 : 0
Ards Rangers
17 Aug
Wakehurst
3 : 1
Ards Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Oxford Stars

(Away)
05 Oct
Hanover
:
Oxford Stars
18 Aug
Oxford Stars
0 : 1
Wakehurst
30 Sept
Crumlin Star
5 : 0
Oxford Stars
19 Aug
Oxford Stars
4 : 3
Trojans
05 Nov
Richhill
1 : 0
Oxford Stars
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Lisburn Rangers 3
Dromore Amateurs 0
Bloomfield 1
Desertmartin 4
Ballywalter Recreation 4
Iveagh Utd 2
Foundry 0
Tandragee 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Newtowne FC 5
Dungiven 1
TBD -
Groomsport -
Newcastle 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Colin Valley 1
Dromara 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Immaculata 2
Bangor Old Boys 1
Laurelvale 1
Dunmurry Y.M. 8
Rathcoole 3
Ballymacash 2
Craigavon City 3
Lower Maze 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Ardglass 2
Saintfield 1
Bryansburn 2
Killyleagh Youth 3
Malachians 1
Grove 0
Windmill 0
Comber Rec 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 1
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Oxford Sunnyside 2
Rosario Youth 7
Rathfern Rangers 4
Richhill 2
Ballynahinch United 2
Valley Rangers 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Trojans 2
Islandmagee 1
Orangefield Old Boys' 1
Derriaghy 4
Seapatrick 1
Killymoon 0
Portaferry Rovers 0
Banbridge Rangers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin United 3
Nortel 2
TBD -
Seagoe -
Moneyslane FC 2
Barn 1
Chimney 3
Downshire Y.M. 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Oxford Stars -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne Technical Old Boys -
Shankill 4
Donard 2
Markethill 1
St. Patricks Young 2
St. Marys 3
Fivemiletown 2
TBD -
Downpatrick -
Strabane Athletic 11
Kilmore Rec 0
East Belfast 1
Ards Rangers 2
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundonald 3
Broomhill 2
Drumaness 1
Dunloy 4
Newry City 5
Ardstraw 1
Shorts 0
Crumlin Star 3
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Rathfriland Rangers -
TBD -
Newbuildings 2
Crewe 3
Brantwood 2
Magherafelt 1
Ballynure Old Boys 1
Sirocco 2
Dunmurry Rec -
TBD -
Ballymoney 1
Hanover 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3
Mossley FC 1
U. U. Jordanstown 1
Abbey Villa 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/128-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Lisburn Rangers 2
Desertmartin 1
Ballywalter Recreation 0
Tandragee 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Newtowne FC 4
Groomsport 1
Newcastle 1
Dromara 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Immaculata 10
Dunmurry Y.M. 0
Rathcoole 1
Lower Maze 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Ardglass 3
Killyleagh Youth 1
Malachians 0
Comber Rec 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 2
Rosario Youth 1
Rathfern Rangers 1
Valley Rangers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Trojans 6
Derriaghy 1
Seapatrick 0
Banbridge Rangers 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin United 9
Seagoe 1
Moneyslane FC 2
Downshire Y.M. 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Oxford Stars 3
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Shankill 1
St. Patricks Young 4
St. Marys 3
Downpatrick 1
Strabane Athletic 1
Ards Rangers 4
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundonald 10
Dunloy 2
Newry City 1
Crumlin Star 2
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Crewe 0
Brantwood 2
Sirocco 3
Dunmurry Rec 5
Hanover 3
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
Abbey Villa 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/64-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Lisburn Rangers 3
Tandragee 0
TBD -
Armagh -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Newtowne FC 3
Dromara 2
TBD -
Institute -
Immaculata 4
Lower Maze 2
TBD -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Ardglass 4
Comber Rec 3
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 2
Valley Rangers 0
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Trojans 5
Banbridge Rangers 1
TBD -
Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin United 3
Downshire Y.M. 2
TBD -
Banbridge -
Oxford Stars 1
St. Patricks Young 0
St. Marys 1
Ards Rangers 4
Ballyclare -
TBD -
Dundonald 0
Crumlin Star 5
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Sirocco 2
Dunmurry Rec 1
Abbey Villa 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portstewart 3
Moyola 1
Lisburn Rangers 0
Armagh 3
Sport & Leisure 6
Dergview 1
Newtowne FC 1
Institute 2
Immaculata 2
Dundela 0
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Portadown -
TBD -
Glebe 1
Wakehurst 2
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda 3
Lisburn Distillery 2
Dollingstown 1
Annagh 2
Bangor FC 5
Coagh Utd 0
Ardglass 0
Lurgan Celtic 4
Glenavon -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 2
Harland & Wolff 3
Ards 7
Donegal 0
TBD -
Glentoran -
PSNI 2
Newington FC 1
Queens University 1
Tobermore 2
Larne 2
Limavady 0
Trojans 1
Loughgall 2
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Crumlin United 3
Banbridge 4
Oxford Stars 3
Ards Rangers 2
Ballyclare 0
Crumlin Star 1
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Abbey Villa 0
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Linfield 2
Ballymena 1
Portstewart 2
Armagh 3
Sport & Leisure 3
Institute 2
Immaculata 0
Cliftonville 2
Portadown 6
Wakehurst 1
Ballinamallard 2
Coleraine 3
Knockbreda 5
Annagh 1
Bangor FC 1
Lurgan Celtic 2
Glenavon 4
Harland & Wolff 1
Ards 1
Glentoran 4
PSNI 2
Tobermore 0
Larne 2
Loughgall 5
Carrick Rangers 2
Banbridge 0
Oxford Stars 2
Crumlin Star 3
Dungannon 4
Warrenpoint 3
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Crusaders 3
1/8-finals
Linfield 7
Armagh 0
Sport & Leisure 0
Cliftonville 4
Portadown 3
Coleraine 1
Knockbreda 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Glenavon 4
Glentoran 1
PSNI 0
Loughgall 2
Carrick Rangers 1
Crumlin Star 0
Dungannon 1
Crusaders 3
Quarter-finals
Linfield 3
Cliftonville 0
Portadown 2
Lurgan Celtic 3
Glenavon 2
Loughgall 1
Carrick Rangers 0
Crusaders 3
Semi-finals
Linfield 3
Lurgan Celtic 0
Glenavon 4
Crusaders 3
Final
Linfield 0
Glenavon 2