Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ards vs Immaculata

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2012/2013
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Arthurs R.
26' Event
Burrows M.
48' Event
Moffatt R.

AI Match Summary

Ards in this Irish Cup 2012/2013 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ards
15%
Draws
39%
Immaculata
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ards

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ards lately — more wins on the board than Immaculata.
  • Ards are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Ards have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ards, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ards Clean Sheet 20%
Immaculata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ards Immaculata
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 0
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.67 2.45
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2013 Irish Cup
Ards vs Immaculata
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ards Compare

Top Goalscorer Arthurs R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burrows M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Immaculata Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ards 40 / 100
Immaculata 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ards Immaculata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ards Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Immaculata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 20 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ards's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Ards remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ards VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ards

(Home)
22 Aug
Ards
1 : 2
Loughgall
15 Aug
Warrenpoint
1 : 3
Ards
11 Aug
Ards
2 : 2
Dundela
08 Aug
Glenavon
1 : 3
Ards
28 Jul
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0
Ards
Page 1 of 6

Immaculata

(Away)
28 Sept
Limavady
2 : 0
Immaculata
18 Aug
Comber Rec
1 : 0
Immaculata
06 Jan
Ballinamallard
4 : 2
Immaculata
02 Dec
Crumlin United
2 : 4
Immaculata
04 Nov
Immaculata
3 : 1
Brantwood
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Rathfern Rangers 1
TBD -
Rathfriland Rangers -
Tobermore -
TBD -
Sirocco 0
Mountjoy 1
Drumaness 3
Islandmagee 2
Malachians 3
Kilmore Rec 4
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford Stars -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Immaculata 8
Dunmurry Rec 1
Camlough 2
Ards Rangers 3
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Ballynahinch United 3
Lisburn Rangers 1
TBD -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Annagh -
TBD -
Tandragee 0
Rosario Youth 2
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Newcastle 0
Crumlin Star 2
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Killymoon -
TBD -
Crumlin United 1
Dromara 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
1/32-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Loughgall 2
Chimney 0
TBD -
Donegal -
Institute 1
Dergview 0
Ballynure Old Boys 0
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Tobermore 7
Mountjoy 1
Drumaness -
Kilmore Rec -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
Moyola 0
Coagh Utd 2
Queens University 3
Banbridge 1
Glebe 0
Dundela 1
Glenavon -
TBD -
Oxford Stars 0
Harland & Wolff 2
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Immaculata 5
Ards Rangers 3
Armagh 2
Ards 3
Ballymena -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure 2
Warrenpoint 4
Ballynahinch United 2
Ballymoney 1
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda 3
Limavady 0
Annagh 3
Rosario Youth 4
Larne 3
Wakehurst 2
Carrick Rangers 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Bangor FC 3
Crumlin Star 0
Portstewart 2
Ballyclare 3
Killymoon 4
Dromara 2
TBD -
Glentoran -
1/16-finals
Cliftonville 4
Ballinamallard 2
Loughgall 1
Donegal 3
Institute 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Tobermore 2
Kilmore Rec 3
Lisburn Distillery 5
Coagh Utd 1
Queens University 3
Dundela 4
Glenavon 5
Harland & Wolff 1
Linfield 3
Crusaders 4
Portadown 2
Dungannon 1
Immaculata 0
Ards 4
Ballymena 2
Warrenpoint 1
Ballynahinch United 0
Coleraine 7
Knockbreda 5
Rosario Youth 1
Larne 2
Lurgan Celtic 5
Bangor FC 3
Ballyclare 2
Killymoon 1
Glentoran 4
1/8-finals
Cliftonville 2
Donegal 0
Institute 0
Kilmore Rec 2
Lisburn Distillery 2
Dundela 1
Glenavon 1
Crusaders 4
Portadown 1
Ards 0
Ballymena 2
Coleraine 3
Knockbreda 3
Lurgan Celtic 0
Bangor FC 2
Glentoran 5
Quarter-finals
Cliftonville 2
Kilmore Rec 0
Lisburn Distillery 2
Crusaders 3
Portadown 3
Coleraine 0
Knockbreda 1
Glentoran 3
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 2
Crusaders 0
Portadown 0
Glentoran 1
Final
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 3