Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ardstraw vs Richhill

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 10-2, with Ardstraw advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ardstraw
15%
Draws
34%
Richhill
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ardstraw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ardstraw come out ahead of Richhill on wins alone.
  • Ardstraw are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ardstraw have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ardstraw, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Ardstraw Clean Sheet 10%
Richhill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ardstraw Richhill
Matches Played 14 10
Wins 7 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 3.29 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.93 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2017 Irish Cup
Ardstraw vs Richhill
10:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ardstraw 83 / 100
Richhill 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ardstraw Richhill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ardstraw Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ardstraw scored in 93% of their last 14 games.

Defensive concern: Richhill conceded in 88% of 8 recent games.

Historical meetings average 12.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Ardstraw remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ardstraw VS Richhill
3.63 Goals Scored 1.5
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ardstraw

(Home)
02 Nov
Ardstraw
1 : 2
Islandmagee
28 Sept
Ardstraw
4 : 1
Wakehurst
17 Aug
Fivemiletown
2 : 3
Ardstraw
29 Sept
Tobermore
5 : 3
Ardstraw
18 Aug
Ardstraw
7 : 0
Dromore Amateurs
Page 1 of 3

Richhill

(Away)
28 Sept
Richhill
0 : 3
Valley Rangers
17 Aug
Richhill
:
Ballywalter Recreation
19 Aug
Ardstraw
10 : 2
Richhill
07 Jan
Richhill
1 : 4
Dollingstown
03 Dec
Richhill
6 : 2
Grove
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Coleraine -
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Foundry -
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St. Marys 1
Bryansburn 3
Cookstown Youth -
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Bloomfield 1
Craigavon City 3
Newtowne FC 3
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
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Desertmartin -
Newington FC -
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Lisburn Distillery -
Knockbreda -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation -
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Seapatrick 1
Ballynure Old Boys 4
Islandmagee 4
Fivemiletown 1
Iveagh Utd 0
Ards Rangers 9
Laurelvale 6
Broomhedge 1
Bangor Old Boys 2
Tullyvallen Rangers 3
Downshire Y.M. 3
Malachians 2
TBD -
Moyola -
Immaculata 3
Abbey Villa 0
Seagoe 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 12
Rosario Youth -
Ballynahinch United -
TBD -
Brantwood -
Valley Rangers 5
Oxford Sunnyside 0
Magherafelt -
Colin Valley -
Donegal -
TBD -
Silverwood 2
Crumlin United 3
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Ballinamallard -
Dundela -
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Richhill 2
Ardstraw 10
Windmill 2
St. James' Swifts 1
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Sport & Leisure -
Rathfriland Rangers 8
Barn 3
Dunmurry Y.M. 0
Orangefield Old Boys' 3
Strabane Athletic -
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TBD -
Newcastle -
Killyleagh Youth 5
Newbuildings 1
Moneyslane FC 1
Sirocco 4
Dunmurry Rec 4
Dromore Amateurs 0
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Tobermore -
Banbridge -
TBD -
Cookstown RBL 1
Dromara 2
Dungiven 3
Suffolk 2
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Queens University -
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 3
Dollingstown 1
Groomsport 1
Lurgan Town Boys 3
Lisburn Rangers 5
Rathfern Rangers 4
Saintfield 2
Tandragee 4
Portaferry Rovers 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 1
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Mossley FC -
Dunloy 3
Banbridge Rangers 1
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Portstewart -
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Crusaders -
Newry City -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 2
Bangor FC 0
St Luke's 1
Rosemount Rec 3
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3
Comber Rec 2
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U. U. Jordanstown -
St. Patricks Young 2
Lower Maze 1
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Wellington Rec -
Markethill 2
Grove 1
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Annagh -
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Linfield -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
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Shankill 4
Ballymacash 3
Bourneview Mill 1
Derriaghy 3
Drumaness 3
Crewe 2
Chimney 2
Hanover 8
Armagh -
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Ballymoney 1
Coagh Utd 6
Oxford Stars 4
Trojans 3
Shorts 1
Crumlin Star 9
PSNI -
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Loughgall -
1/128-finals
Coleraine -
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Foundry 4
Bryansburn 3
Cookstown Youth 6
Craigavon City 7
Newtowne FC 4
Desertmartin 2
Newington FC 0
Lisburn Distillery 3
Knockbreda -
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Institute -
Ballyclare -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation 6
Ballynure Old Boys 3
Islandmagee 1
Ards Rangers 2
Laurelvale 5
Tullyvallen Rangers 2
Downshire Y.M. 1
Moyola 10
Immaculata 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Rosario Youth 4
Brantwood 0
Valley Rangers 4
Colin Valley 1
Donegal 0
Crumlin United 2
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Ballinamallard -
Dundela 6
Ardstraw 2
Windmill 0
Sport & Leisure 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Orangefield Old Boys' 1
Strabane Athletic 1
Newcastle 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Sirocco 0
Dunmurry Rec 0
Tobermore 7
Banbridge 1
Dromara 0
Dungiven 2
Queens University 7
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 7
Lurgan Town Boys 1
Lisburn Rangers 2
Tandragee 3
Portaferry Rovers 2
Mossley FC 0
Dunloy 1
Portstewart 2
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Crusaders -
Newry City -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 3
Rosemount Rec 0
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
U. U. Jordanstown 2
St. Patricks Young 3
Wellington Rec 2
Markethill 2
Annagh 4
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Linfield -
Glenavon -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
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Shankill 2
Derriaghy 1
Drumaness 0
Hanover 2
Armagh 2
Coagh Utd 0
Oxford Stars 0
Crumlin Star 5
PSNI -
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Loughgall -
1/64-finals
Coleraine -
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Foundry 4
Craigavon City 1
Newtowne FC 0
Lisburn Distillery 2
Knockbreda -
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Institute -
Ballyclare -
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Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation 3
Ards Rangers 2
Laurelvale 0
Moyola 5
Immaculata 3
Brantwood 1
Valley Rangers 0
Crumlin United 2
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TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Dundela 2
Sport & Leisure 0
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Newcastle 3
Killyleagh Youth 3
Tobermore 1
Banbridge 1
Queens University 2
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 2
Tandragee 1
Portaferry Rovers 1
Portstewart 2
TBD -
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Crusaders -
Newry City -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 11
U. U. Jordanstown 0
St. Patricks Young 2
Annagh 5
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Linfield -
Glenavon -
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Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
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Shankill 3
Hanover 2
Armagh 1
Crumlin Star 2
PSNI -
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TBD -
Loughgall -
1/32-finals
Coleraine -
TBD -
Foundry 1
Lisburn Distillery 3
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Ballymena -
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Ballywalter Recreation 0
Moyola 2
Immaculata 4
Crumlin United 2
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Dundela 5
Newcastle 0
Killyleagh Youth 1
Queens University 3
Dergview -
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Larne -
Cliftonville -
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Warrenpoint -
Maiden City 2
Portstewart 1
TBD -
Crusaders -
Newry City -
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Harland & Wolff -
Glebe 2
Annagh 1
TBD -
Linfield -
Glenavon -
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TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Limavady -
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Dungannon -
Ards -
TBD -
Shankill 0
Crumlin Star 4
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
1/16-finals
Coleraine 7
Lisburn Distillery 0
Knockbreda 0
Institute 2
Ballyclare 2
Portadown 1
Lurgan Celtic 1
Glentoran 2
Ballymena 4
Moyola 0
Immaculata 2
Ballinamallard 4
Dundela 1
Queens University 0
Dergview 0
Larne 3
Cliftonville 4
Warrenpoint 3
Maiden City 0
Crusaders 2
Newry City 2
Harland & Wolff 0
Glebe 0
Linfield 5
Glenavon 3
Carrick Rangers 1
Limavady 0
Dungannon 4
Ards 4
Crumlin Star 1
PSNI 1
Loughgall 4
1/8-finals
Coleraine 4
Institute 0
Ballyclare 0
Glentoran 4
Ballymena 3
Ballinamallard 2
Dundela 1
Larne 6
Cliftonville 4
Crusaders 1
Newry City 0
Linfield 1
Glenavon 3
Dungannon 0
Ards 1
Loughgall 2
Quarter-finals
Coleraine 1
Glentoran 0
Ballymena 1
Larne 2
Cliftonville 1
Linfield 0
Glenavon 1
Loughgall 2
Semi-finals
Coleraine 3
Larne 1
Cliftonville 4
Loughgall 1
Final
Coleraine 3
Cliftonville 1