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Arema FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Kanjuruhan Stadium, Malang
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Joel Vinicius
Assist: Dalberto
4'
Joel Vinicius
40'
Yamadera Y.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Arema FC and PSIM Yogyakarta finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arema FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Arema FC
6%
Draws
4%
PSIM Yogyakarta
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Arema FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Arema FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Arema FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Arema FC Clean Sheet 20%
PSIM Yogyakarta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arema FC PSIM Yogyakarta
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Super League
Arema FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta
3:1
Aug 16, 2025 Super League
PSIM Yogyakarta vs Arema FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arema FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Joel Vinicius
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dalberto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

PSIM Yogyakarta Compare

Top Goalscorer Corfe D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arema FC 85 / 100
PSIM Yogyakarta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arema FC PSIM Yogyakarta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arema FC scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

PSIM Yogyakarta has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Arema FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arema FC VS PSIM Yogyakarta
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arema FC

(Home)
22 May
Arema FC
3 : 1
PSIM Yogyakarta
15 May
PSBS Biak Numfor
2 : 5
Arema FC
09 May
Arema FC
3 : 0
PSM Makassar
03 May
Persik Kediri
3 : 2
Arema FC
28 Apr
Arema FC
0 : 4
Persebaya
Page 1 of 6

PSIM Yogyakarta

(Away)
22 May
Arema FC
3 : 1
PSIM Yogyakarta
17 May
PSIM Yogyakarta
2 : 1
Madura United
10 May
PSIM Yogyakarta
2 : 0
Malut United
04 May
Persib Bandung
1 : 0
PSIM Yogyakarta
30 Apr
PSIM Yogyakarta
0 : 1
Persita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518
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