Sport Picks
Arema FC vs Bali United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Indonesia
Super League Kanjuruhan Stadium, Malang 
AI Match Summary
Arema FC host Bali United in the Super League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Arema FC at 1.63 goals for, 1.5 against; Bali United at 2.17 for, 1.45 against. Past meetings favor Arema FC slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2026, ending 3:4. xG projections (1.69 - 2.00) back Bali United to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Bali United come out ahead of Arema FC on wins alone.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Bali United taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arema FC | Bali United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Arema FC scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.
Bali United has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Arema FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Arema FC
(Home)Bali United
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Dewa United | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Bali United | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Persita | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Persib Bandung | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 6 | Persik Kediri | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Bhayangkara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Madura United | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Persebaya | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 10 | PSM Makassar | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 11 | Java United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 12 | Arema FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:14 | 6 |
| 13 | Borneo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Garudayaksa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 4 |
| 16 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:12 | 2 |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 1 |
| 18 | Persijap Jepara | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:14 | 0 |
