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Arema FC vs DPMM

Indonesia Indonesia

President Cup Kanjuruhan Stadium, Malang
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Asri D.
35' Event
Gustavo Henrique
45'
MV

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Arema FC
30%
Draws
33%
DPMM
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arema FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arema FC come out ahead of DPMM on wins alone.
  • Model gives Arema FC a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Arema FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Arema FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Arema FC Clean Sheet 20%
DPMM Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arema FC DPMM
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 President Cup
Arema FC vs DPMM
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arema FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Henrique
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

DPMM Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arema FC 67 / 100
DPMM 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arema FC DPMM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arema FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

DPMM's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Arema FC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Arema FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arema FC VS DPMM
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arema FC

(Home)
18 Sept
Arema FC
1 : 1
Persik Kediri
13 Sept
PSM Makassar
3 : 3
Arema FC
04 Sept
Arema FC
4 : 0
Isenmulang Kalteng
22 Aug
RANS Nusantara
0 : 2
Arema FC
06 Aug
Persija Jakarta
3 : 1
Arema FC
Page 1 of 6

DPMM

(Away)
20 Sept
DPMM
3 : 3
Kuala Lumpur City
16 Sept
Terengganu
1 : 3
DPMM
13 Sept
Sabah
1 : 2
DPMM
09 Sept
DPMM
2 : 3
Terengganu
04 Sept
Johor DT
3 : 0
DPMM
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
2 Arema FC 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Tampines 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 DPMM 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - President Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persebaya 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
2 Persija Jakarta 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 Port MTI FC 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 PSMS Medan 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - President Cup (Play Offs)