Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arema FC vs Persijap Jepara

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Kanjuruhan Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Herrera B.
19'
Sub
Lessy B. In: Ramadhan F.
Out: Lessy B.
27'
Fahmi R.

AI Match Summary

Arema FC host Persijap Jepara in the Super League. This one's hard to separate. Persijap Jepara have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Arema FC have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor Arema FC slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 2, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.31) point toward Arema FC. Arema FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Arema FC
39%
Draws
31%
Persijap Jepara
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Arema FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Persijap Jepara.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Arema FC Clean Sheet 18%
Persijap Jepara Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arema FC Persijap Jepara
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2026 Super League
Arema FC vs Persijap Jepara
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Super League
Persijap Jepara vs Arema FC
0:0
Sep 5, 2014 Super League
Persijap Jepara vs Arema FC
0:8
Feb 3, 2014 Super League
Arema FC vs Persijap Jepara
4:1
Nov 30, 2013 Premier League
Arema FC vs Persijap Jepara
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arema FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Yama H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Persijap Jepara Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arema FC 31 / 100
Persijap Jepara 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arema FC Persijap Jepara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arema FC scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Persijap Jepara let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Arema FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Persijap Jepara lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arema FC VS Persijap Jepara
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518