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Arenal vs PE Sant Jordi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between Arenal and PE Sant Jordi finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PE Sant Jordi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Arenal
20%
Draws
58%
PE Sant Jordi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PE Sant Jordi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Arenal haven't matched PE Sant Jordi's recent run of results.
  • PE Sant Jordi are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Arenal Clean Sheet 17%
PE Sant Jordi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arenal PE Sant Jordi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs PE Sant Jordi
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenal 23 / 100
PE Sant Jordi 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arenal PE Sant Jordi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PE Sant Jordi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PE Sant Jordi has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Arenal scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Arenal has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arenal VS PE Sant Jordi
0.83 Goals Scored 1
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.63
83% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arenal

(Home)
03 Oct
Llosetense
3 : 1
Arenal
26 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Porreres
19 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 2
Arenal
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
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PE Sant Jordi

(Away)
04 Oct
PE Sant Jordi
0 : 0
Inter Ibiza
27 Sept
Formentera
3 : 0
PE Sant Jordi
20 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2
Andratx
12 Sept
Sineu
2 : 4
PE Sant Jordi
06 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 0
Migjorn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
2 Constancia 6 4 1 1 10:3 13
3 SD Ibiza 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
4 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
5 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
6 Platges de Calvia 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
7 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
8 Porreres 6 3 0 3 7:7 9
9 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
10 PE Sant Jordi 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
11 Alcudia 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
12 Mercadal 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Andratx 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 Binissalem 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Arenal 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
17 Inter Ibiza 5 0 1 4 2:12 1
18 Sineu 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)