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Arenal vs Pena Deportiva Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 game between Arenal and Pena Deportiva finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pena Deportiva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Arenal
15%
Draws
21%
Pena Deportiva
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arenal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pena Deportiva come out ahead of Arenal on wins alone.
  • Model gives Arenal a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pena Deportiva here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Arenal Clean Sheet 12%
Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arenal Pena Deportiva
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Pena Deportiva
0:1
Sep 5, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Arenal
2:1
Feb 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Pena Deportiva
0:2
Oct 11, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Arenal
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenal 65 / 100
Pena Deportiva 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arenal Pena Deportiva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arenal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arenal's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Pena Deportiva has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Difficult form: Pena Deportiva registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arenal VS Pena Deportiva
0.67 Goals Scored 2.13
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arenal

(Home)
26 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Porreres
19 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 2
Arenal
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
11 May
Llosetense
3 : 0
Arenal
Page 1 of 6

Pena Deportiva

(Away)
27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2
Real Murcia B
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1
Yeclano
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
14 Aug
UD Ibiza
5 : 0
Pena Deportiva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)