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Arenas Armilla vs CD Alhaurino

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Oliva S. T.
87'
Ferrete A.

AI Match Summary

CD Alhaurino in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Alhaurino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Arenas Armilla
33%
Draws
40%
CD Alhaurino
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CD Alhaurino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arenas Armilla lately — more wins on the board than CD Alhaurino.
  • Win probability leans CD Alhaurino's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Arenas Armilla Clean Sheet 15%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arenas Armilla CD Alhaurino
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs CD Alhaurino
0:1
Jan 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Arenas Armilla
0:0
Jan 6, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs CD Alhaurino
2:1
Aug 30, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Arenas Armilla
3:0
Feb 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs CD Alhaurino
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arenas Armilla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

CD Alhaurino Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliva S. T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenas Armilla 27 / 100
CD Alhaurino 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arenas Armilla CD Alhaurino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arenas Armilla found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

CD Alhaurino let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Arenas Armilla has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arenas Armilla VS CD Alhaurino
0.75 Goals Scored 1.57
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.71
63% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mijas Las Lagunas34199646:2466
2Motril341811555:2965
3Torre del Mar341413737:2655
4Arenas Armilla341591038:2954
5Churriana de la Vega3414101032:4052
6Marbelli341491136:2851
7Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3413111039:3850
8UD San Pedro3413101139:3749
9Atletico de Porcuna341441641:3946
10Huetor Vega341291343:4245
11Granada CF B3410141049:4744
12CD Alhaurino3411101341:4143
13Melilla B349121330:3239
14Mancha349101530:3837
15Huetor Tajar349101540:4437
16Martos349101532:4837
17CD Torreperogil34961924:4533
18El Palo34691928:5327