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Arenas Armilla vs UD San Pedro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arenas Armilla host UD San Pedro in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9. This one's hard to separate. Arenas Armilla have averaged 1.39 scored and 1.08 conceded recently, against UD San Pedro's 1.1 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Arenas Armilla have won 1 to UD San Pedro's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.25) back Arenas Armilla to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Arenas Armilla
30%
Draws
35%
UD San Pedro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arenas Armilla lately — more wins on the board than UD San Pedro.
  • Model gives Arenas Armilla a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Arenas Armilla Clean Sheet 19%
UD San Pedro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arenas Armilla UD San Pedro
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.39 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD San Pedro vs Arenas Armilla
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs UD San Pedro
2:0
Mar 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD San Pedro vs Arenas Armilla
4:0
Oct 23, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs UD San Pedro
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenas Armilla 49 / 100
UD San Pedro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arenas Armilla UD San Pedro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arenas Armilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arenas Armilla found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (36 games).

Solid form: Arenas Armilla remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

UD San Pedro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Arenas Armilla VS UD San Pedro
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arenas Armilla

(Home)
18 Oct
CD Alhaurino
2 : 2
Arenas Armilla
11 Oct
Arenas Armilla
5 : 1
Malaga Juniors
04 Oct
Torre del Mar
0 : 1
Arenas Armilla
27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3
Huetor Vega
20 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 1
Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 8

UD San Pedro

(Away)
18 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 0
Marbelli
11 Oct
Melilla
2 : 0
UD San Pedro
04 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 3
Motril
27 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 3
UD San Pedro
20 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Almeria B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 7 6 0 1 13:5 18
2 Almeria B 7 5 1 1 12:4 16
3 Arenas Armilla 7 4 3 0 15:7 15
4 Motril 7 4 3 0 11:5 15
5 Marbelli 7 4 1 2 8:7 13
6 UD San Pedro 7 4 0 3 9:10 12
7 Malaga B 7 3 2 2 13:7 11
8 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
9 Churriana de la Vega 7 3 1 3 13:10 10
10 Granada CF B 7 3 1 3 9:6 10
11 Atletico de Porcuna 7 3 1 3 9:15 10
12 CD Alhaurino 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
13 Torre del Mar 7 2 1 4 6:8 7
14 Huetor Vega 7 1 3 3 10:14 6
15 Atletico de Marbella 7 1 2 4 5:9 5
16 Mancha 7 1 2 4 5:11 5
17 Cantoria 7 0 3 4 4:12 3
18 Malaga Juniors 7 0 0 7 5:18 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)