Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009 Estadio Municipal de Fadura

Ordizia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arenas Getxo play Ordizia in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arenas Getxo averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Ordizia averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Arenas Getxo won 0, Ordizia won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 16, 2009 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Arenas Getxo and 1.19 for Ordizia. This points to a Arenas Getxo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Arenas Getxo

28%

Draws

28%

Ordizia

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Arenas Getxo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Arenas Getxo picked up more points recently compared to Ordizia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Arenas Getxo Clean Sheet 20%

Ordizia Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arenas Getxo	Ordizia
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	5
Draws	5	12
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	1.17	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.47	1.93

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Arenas Getxo vs Ordizia

Possession: 60% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Jan 4, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Ordizia vs Arenas Getxo

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenas Getxo 44 / 100

Ordizia 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arenas Getxo Ordizia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Arenas Getxo or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arenas Getxo attacking → ← attacking Ordizia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arenas Getxo scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Ordizia let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Arenas Getxo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ordizia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 27

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lagun Onak	38	21	10	7	51:25	73
2	Amurrio Club	38	21	10	7	63:27	73
3	Elgoibar	38	19	13	6	54:32	70
4	Portugalete	38	20	10	8	54:35	70
5	Beasain	38	20	10	8	68:38	70
6	Gernika Club	38	15	11	12	45:35	56
7	Baskonia	38	14	14	10	50:51	56
8	Laudio	38	11	17	10	39:43	50
9	Zamudio	38	11	16	11	42:38	49
10	Amorebieta	38	13	9	16	59:59	48
11	Leioa	38	12	11	15	38:45	47
12	Arenas Getxo	38	11	14	13	38:43	47
13	Zalla UC	38	12	10	16	35:53	46
14	Santurtzi	38	12	10	16	36:45	46
15	Eibar B	38	9	17	12	32:35	44
16	SCD Durango	38	11	10	17	44:50	43
17	Zarautz KE	38	10	12	16	45:51	42
18	Ordizia	38	10	10	18	35:61	40
19	Alaves B	38	7	11	20	31:53	32
20	San Ignacio	38	2	13	23	25:65	19