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Arenteiro vs Ath Bilbao B

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio de Espiñedo, Ourense
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Sanz I.
57'
Lete E.
61'
Sub
Perez A. In: Huestamendia P.
Out: Perez A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Arenteiro and Ath Bilbao B finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Arenteiro
22%
Draws
60%
Ath Bilbao B
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ath Bilbao B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Ath Bilbao B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Ath Bilbao B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Arenteiro Clean Sheet 19%
Ath Bilbao B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arenteiro Ath Bilbao B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Ath Bilbao B
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ath Bilbao B vs Arenteiro
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ath Bilbao B vs Arenteiro
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Ath Bilbao B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arenteiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Falcon E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Ath Bilbao B Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenteiro 20 / 100
Ath Bilbao B 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arenteiro Ath Bilbao B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ath Bilbao B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Arenteiro scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Arenteiro has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arenteiro VS Ath Bilbao B
0.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arenteiro

(Home)
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0
Arenteiro
17 May
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Ponferradina
09 May
Guadalajara
2 : 0
Arenteiro
03 May
Arenteiro
0 : 4
Cacereno
25 Apr
Osasuna B
1 : 0
Arenteiro
Page 1 of 6

Ath Bilbao B

(Away)
29 Jul
Sestao
0 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
25 Jul
Burgos CF
1 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
23 May
Ponferradina
1 : 0
Ath Bilbao B
17 May
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1
Guadalajara
09 May
Pontevedra
4 : 0
Ath Bilbao B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tenerife382210662:2476
2Celta Vigo B381811961:4865
3Zamora3817101153:4261
4Ponferradina381791243:3360
5Real Madrid B3816101261:5258
6Pontevedra381416849:3158
7Barakaldo3815131051:3858
8Unionistas de Salamanca3815111253:4956
9Lugo3813141136:4053
10AD Merida3814101447:5352
11Arenas Getxo381571646:5552
12Racing Club Ferrol3813101541:4749
13Ath Bilbao B3813101538:4649
14Real Aviles3811111655:6744
15Cacereno3810141442:4944
16CF Talavera3811101738:4743
17Ourense CF3810131544:4743
18Guadalajara3810111744:5841
19Osasuna B3810101828:4240
20Arenteiro386102229:5328
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)