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Arezzo vs Benevento - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Citta di Arezzo, Arezzo
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arezzo host Benevento in the Serie B. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Arezzo have averaged 1.36 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Benevento's 1.76 scored and 1.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Arezzo have won 3 to Benevento's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.81) point toward Benevento. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Arezzo
15%
Draws
59%
Benevento
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benevento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Benevento lately — more wins on the board than Arezzo.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Benevento taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 11%
Benevento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arezzo Benevento
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.36 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Super Cup (Serie C)
Benevento vs Arezzo
1:0
Jan 31, 2010 Lega Pro C1/A
Benevento vs Arezzo
0:1
Sep 20, 2009 Lega Pro C1/A
Arezzo vs Benevento
1:0
Apr 26, 2009 Lega Pro C1/B
Benevento vs Arezzo
2:1
Nov 30, 2008 Lega Pro C1/B
Arezzo vs Benevento
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arezzo 10 / 100
Benevento 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arezzo Benevento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benevento Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arezzo's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Benevento let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Arezzo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arezzo VS Benevento
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arezzo

(Home)
10 Oct
Arezzo
0 : 0
Cremonese
27 Sept
Lazio
2 : 0
Arezzo
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4
Sudtirol
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1
Arezzo
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0
Arezzo
Page 1 of 6

Benevento

(Away)
10 Oct
Benevento
2 : 0
Cesena
02 Oct
Frosinone
2 : 1
Benevento
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
11 Sept
Benevento
3 : 1
Verona
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0
Benevento
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 6 5 1 0 14:7 16
2 Mantova 6 4 2 0 13:6 14
3 Modena 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Sudtirol 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
5 Ascoli 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
6 Avellino 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
7 Pisa 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
8 Benevento 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
9 Verona 6 2 1 3 12:10 7
10 Padova 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
11 Cesena 6 1 4 1 7:8 7
12 Arezzo 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
13 Empoli 6 2 0 4 6:10 6
14 Entella 6 1 3 2 8:7 6
15 Cremonese 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
16 Vicenza 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
17 Carrarese 6 1 1 4 4:6 4
18 Sampdoria 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
19 Catanzaro 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
20 Juve Stabia 6 1 3 2 5:8 2
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)