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Arezzo vs Folgore Caratese

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Arezzo
30%
Draws
47%
Folgore Caratese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Folgore Caratese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Folgore Caratese lately — more wins on the board than Arezzo.
  • Model gives Folgore Caratese a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 16%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arezzo Folgore Caratese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 8 11
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.55 1.69
Goals Conceded 1 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Arezzo vs Folgore Caratese
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arezzo 28 / 100
Folgore Caratese 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arezzo Folgore Caratese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Caratese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arezzo scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Folgore Caratese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Arezzo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arezzo VS Folgore Caratese
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arezzo

(Home)
14 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0
Arezzo
09 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 0
Union Brescia
30 Jul
Parma
1 : 1
Arezzo
29 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 3
AlbinoLeffe
26 Jul
Atalanta
3 : 2
Arezzo
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Folgore Caratese

(Away)
31 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
25 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 1
Folgore Caratese
17 May
Vado
3 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0
Treviso
02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1
Sondrio
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