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Arezzo vs Folgore Caratese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Arezzo
20%
Draws
50%
Folgore Caratese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Folgore Caratese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arezzo lately — more wins on the board than Folgore Caratese.
  • Model gives Folgore Caratese a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 15%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arezzo Folgore Caratese
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Arezzo vs Folgore Caratese
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arezzo 10 / 100
Folgore Caratese 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arezzo Folgore Caratese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Caratese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arezzo scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Folgore Caratese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Arezzo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arezzo VS Folgore Caratese
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arezzo

(Home)
27 Sept
Lazio
2 : 0
Arezzo
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4
Sudtirol
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1
Arezzo
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0
Arezzo
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
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Folgore Caratese

(Away)
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
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