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Argentina W vs Paraguay W Prediction & H2H Stats

South America South America

CONMEBOL Nations League Women Estadio Diego Armando Maradona, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Cometti A.
Assist: Stabile E.
22' Event
Holzheier A.
Assist: Falfan D.
35'
Arrieta C.

AI Match Summary

Argentina W in this CONMEBOL Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Argentina W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Argentina W
30%
Draws
27%
Paraguay W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Argentina W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Paraguay W haven't matched Argentina W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Paraguay W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular CONMEBOL Nations League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Argentina W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Argentina W Clean Sheet 20%
Paraguay W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Argentina W Paraguay W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.39 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2025 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Argentina W vs Paraguay W
3:1
Jul 30, 2022 Copa América Women
Argentina W vs Paraguay W
3:1
Nov 7, 2019 Friendly International Women
Paraguay W vs Argentina W
1:2
Aug 6, 2019 Pan American Games Women
Paraguay W vs Argentina W
0:3
Sep 17, 2014 Copa América Women
Argentina W vs Paraguay W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Argentina W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cometti A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Holzheier A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Paraguay W Compare

Top Goalscorer Barreto L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Argentina W 28 / 100
Paraguay W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Argentina W Paraguay W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paraguay W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Argentina W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Argentina W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Paraguay W let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Argentina W VS Paraguay W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Argentina W

(Home)
09 Jun
Ecuador W
0 : 1
Argentina W
05 Jun
Argentina W
1 : 1
Peru W
18 Apr
Argentina W
0 : 0
Colombia W
14 Apr
Venezuela W
1 : 2
Argentina W
11 Apr
Chile W
0 : 1
Argentina W
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Paraguay W

(Away)
12 Jul
Penarol W
1 : 2
Paraguay W
09 Jul
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
Paraguay W
09 Jun
Paraguay W
3 : 4
Colombia W
05 Jun
Bolivia W
0 : 8
Paraguay W
14 Apr
Peru W
1 : 1
Paraguay W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia W 8 6 2 0 16:7 20
2 Argentina W 8 5 3 0 18:5 18
3 Venezuela W 8 3 3 2 19:6 12
4 Ecuador W 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
5 Peru W 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
6 Paraguay W 8 3 1 4 17:11 10
7 Chile W 8 3 1 4 11:9 10
8 Uruguay W 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
9 Bolivia W 8 0 1 7 2:40 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion)