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Stadium Background

Argentino de Merlo vs Real Pilar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva, Merlo
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Rojas M. In: Mancini V.
Out: Rojas M.
60'
Sub
Ortiz J. In: Salvador A.
Out: Ortiz J.
65' Event
Pansardi F.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Argentino de Merlo and Real Pilar finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Pilar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Argentino de Merlo
15%
Draws
64%
Real Pilar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Pilar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Real Pilar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Argentino de Merlo Clean Sheet 23%
Real Pilar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Argentino de Merlo Real Pilar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.86 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Real Pilar
0:1
May 2, 2026 Primera B
Real Pilar vs Argentino de Merlo
1:1
Jul 27, 2025 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Real Pilar
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 Primera B
Real Pilar vs Argentino de Merlo
3:1
Jul 10, 2022 Primera C
Argentino de Merlo vs Real Pilar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Argentino de Merlo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Real Pilar Compare

Top Goalscorer Pansardi F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Argentino de Merlo 37 / 100
Real Pilar 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Argentino de Merlo Real Pilar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Pilar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Pilar has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Argentino de Merlo scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Argentino de Merlo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Argentino de Merlo VS Real Pilar
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Argentino de Merlo

(Home)
03 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1
Argentino de Merlo
26 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1
Villa San Carlos
20 Sept
CSD Liniers
1 : 2
Argentino de Merlo
11 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1
Real Pilar
06 Sept
UAI Urquiza
2 : 0
Argentino de Merlo
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Real Pilar

(Away)
03 Oct
Real Pilar
2 : 0
Villa Dalmine
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0
Real Pilar
19 Sept
Real Pilar
2 : 1
Arsenal Sarandi
11 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1
Real Pilar
05 Sept
Real Pilar
0 : 2
Talleres Remedios Escalada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 39 23 8 8 63:30 77
2 Arsenal Sarandi 39 20 12 7 53:26 72
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 39 19 11 9 41:24 68
4 Sportivo Italiano 38 18 11 9 45:28 65
5 Villa Dalmine 39 17 14 8 39:24 65
6 Deportivo Camioneros 39 17 13 9 44:30 64
7 Deportivo Armenio 39 17 10 12 42:38 61
8 Real Pilar 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
9 Comunicaciones 39 14 14 11 39:34 56
10 Laferrere 39 13 13 13 47:51 52
11 San Martin Burzaco 39 12 14 13 40:44 50
12 Dock Sud 38 11 14 13 40:42 47
13 Villa San Carlos 39 11 14 14 37:43 47
14 Dep. Merlo 39 10 15 14 37:52 45
15 Argentino de Merlo 38 11 11 16 33:39 44
16 Argentino de Quilmes 39 9 17 13 32:39 44
17 CSD Liniers 39 10 14 15 32:40 44
18 Flandria 39 11 9 19 35:48 42
19 Defensores Unidos 39 9 14 16 33:40 41
20 Brown Adrogue 38 8 15 15 24:37 39
21 UAI Urquiza 38 5 20 13 21:35 35
22 Ituzaingo 39 1 13 25 27:64 16
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)