Sport Picks
Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera B Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva, Merlo 
Match Events
21'
21'
Sub
Centurion F. In: Guerra A.
Out: Centurion F.
57'
57'
Sub
Fantino L. In: Daivez A.
Out: Fantino L.
59'
59'
Sub
Gimenez K. In: De Cuadro J.
Out: Gimenez K.
AI Match Summary
Sportivo Italiano in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportivo Italiano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sportivo Italiano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Argentino de Merlo haven't matched Sportivo Italiano's recent run of results.
- 65% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Argentino de Merlo Clean Sheet 19%
Sportivo Italiano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Argentino de Merlo | Sportivo Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 11, 2026 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano
1:2
May 31, 2026 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs Argentino de Merlo
0:2
Jul 13, 2025 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs Argentino de Merlo
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Argentino de Merlo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Sportivo Italiano Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomez F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Caceres P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Argentino de Merlo 32 / 100
Sportivo Italiano 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Argentino de Merlo Sportivo Italiano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sportivo Italiano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Argentino de Merlo scored in 46% of their last 28 games.
Sportivo Italiano let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Argentino de Merlo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Argentino de Merlo VS Sportivo Italiano
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Argentino de Merlo
(Home) 03 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1 Argentino de Merlo
26 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1 Villa San Carlos
20 Sept
CSD Liniers
1 : 2 Argentino de Merlo
11 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1 Real Pilar
06 Sept
UAI Urquiza
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1 Villa San Carlos
11 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1 Real Pilar
30 Aug
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 0 Villa Dalmine
22 Aug
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 0 Arsenal Sarandi
15 Aug
Argentino de Merlo
1 : 1 Ituzaingo
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Italiano
(Away) 04 Oct
Sportivo Italiano
2 : 0 Talleres Remedios Escalada
26 Sept
Laferrere
1 : 2 Sportivo Italiano
19 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 0 Brown Adrogue
12 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0 Sportivo Italiano
05 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
3 : 1 Flandria
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Laferrere
1 : 2 Sportivo Italiano
12 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0 Sportivo Italiano
29 Aug
Argentino de Quilmes
0 : 2 Sportivo Italiano
21 Aug
Comunicaciones
1 : 0 Sportivo Italiano
08 Aug
Dep. Merlo
0 : 4 Sportivo Italiano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 63:30 | 77 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 39 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 53:26 | 72 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 39 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 41:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 45:28 | 65 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 39 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 39:24 | 65 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 39 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 44:30 | 64 |
| 7 | Deportivo Armenio | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 8 | Real Pilar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 39:34 | 56 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 39 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 40:44 | 50 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 37:43 | 47 |
| 14 | Dep. Merlo | 39 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 37:52 | 45 |
| 15 | Argentino de Merlo | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 33:39 | 44 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 39 | 9 | 17 | 13 | 32:39 | 44 |
| 17 | CSD Liniers | 39 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 32:40 | 44 |
| 18 | Flandria | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 35:48 | 42 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 39 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 33:40 | 41 |
| 20 | Brown Adrogue | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 24:37 | 39 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 38 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 21:35 | 35 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 39 | 1 | 13 | 25 | 27:64 | 16 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
