Sport Picks
Argentino de Quilmes vs Dep. Merlo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera B Barranca Quilmena stadium, Quilmes 
Match Events
12'
12'
Vallejo L.
45'
45'
Minnicelli A.
46'
46'
Sub
Minnicelli A. In: Velasco A.
Out: Minnicelli A.
AI Match Summary
Argentino de Quilmes in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Argentino de Quilmes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Dep. Merlo average 0.86 goals a game right now, well clear of Argentino de Quilmes's 0.68.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Argentino de Quilmes Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Merlo Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Argentino de Quilmes | Dep. Merlo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.68 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Primera B
Argentino de Quilmes vs Dep. Merlo
1:0
May 2, 2026 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Argentino de Quilmes
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 Primera B
Argentino de Quilmes vs Dep. Merlo
3:0
Mar 22, 2025 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Argentino de Quilmes
1:0
Jun 24, 2024 Primera B
Argentino de Quilmes vs Dep. Merlo
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Argentino de Quilmes Compare
Top Goalscorer Kruger J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Dep. Merlo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Argentino de Quilmes 32 / 100
Dep. Merlo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Argentino de Quilmes Dep. Merlo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dep. Merlo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Recent resilience: Argentino de Quilmes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Argentino de Quilmes scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Argentino de Quilmes VS Dep. Merlo
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Argentino de Quilmes
(Home) 03 Oct
Defensores Unidos
1 : 1 Argentino de Quilmes
27 Sept
Argentino de Quilmes
0 : 0 Comunicaciones
20 Sept
Dock Sud
0 : 0 Argentino de Quilmes
13 Sept
Argentino de Quilmes
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
06 Sept
Deportivo Camioneros
1 : 0 Argentino de Quilmes
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Argentino de Quilmes
0 : 0 Comunicaciones
13 Sept
Argentino de Quilmes
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
29 Aug
Argentino de Quilmes
0 : 2 Sportivo Italiano
22 Aug
Argentino de Quilmes
0 : 2 Villa San Carlos
08 Aug
Argentino de Quilmes
0 : 0 Real Pilar
Page 1 of 3
Dep. Merlo
(Away) 05 Oct
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0 Brown Adrogue
26 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
20 Sept
Dep. Merlo
2 : 1 Flandria
13 Sept
Argentino de Quilmes
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
05 Sept
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0 Defensores Unidos
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
13 Sept
Argentino de Quilmes
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
31 Aug
Comunicaciones
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
22 Aug
Ituzaingo
0 : 0 Dep. Merlo
15 Aug
Deportivo Camioneros
0 : 0 Dep. Merlo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 63:30 | 77 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 50:25 | 69 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 39 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 41:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 45:28 | 65 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 38:23 | 64 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 39 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 44:30 | 64 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 42:38 | 60 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 39:34 | 55 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 46:50 | 51 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 39:41 | 50 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 37:43 | 47 |
| 14 | Argentino de Merlo | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 33:39 | 44 |
| 15 | Dep. Merlo | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 36:51 | 44 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 30:37 | 43 |
| 17 | CSD Liniers | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 31:39 | 43 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 33:39 | 41 |
| 19 | Brown Adrogue | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 24:37 | 39 |
| 20 | Flandria | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 38 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 21:35 | 35 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 38 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 25:62 | 15 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
