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Argentino de Rosario vs Mercedes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera C Estadio José Martín Olaeta, Rosario
Argentino de Rosario Logo

Argentino de Rosario

2 - 0
FT
Mercedes Logo

Mercedes

Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Guinazu T.
90' Event
Galimberti J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Argentino de Rosario in this Primera C matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Argentino de Rosario.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Argentino de Rosario
35%
Draws
40%
Mercedes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mercedes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Argentino de Rosario haven't matched Mercedes's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Argentino de Rosario Clean Sheet 68%
Mercedes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Argentino de Rosario Mercedes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 14 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Primera C
Argentino de Rosario vs Mercedes
2:0
Apr 11, 2026 Primera C
Mercedes vs Argentino de Rosario
1:0
Jul 27, 2024 Primera C
Mercedes vs Argentino de Rosario
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 Primera C
Argentino de Rosario vs Mercedes
2:0
Sep 8, 2023 Primera D
Argentino de Rosario vs Mercedes
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Argentino de Rosario Compare

Top Goalscorer Guinazu T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galimberti J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Mercedes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Argentino de Rosario 42 / 100
Mercedes 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Argentino de Rosario Mercedes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Argentino de Rosario scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Argentino de Rosario went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Mercedes conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Argentino de Rosario VS Mercedes
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Argentino de Rosario

(Home)
04 Oct
CA Lugano
2 : 3
Argentino de Rosario
26 Sept
Estrella Del Sur
2 : 1
Argentino de Rosario
19 Sept
Argentino de Rosario
1 : 1
Berazategui
13 Sept
Central Cordoba (Rosario)
3 : 0
Argentino de Rosario
05 Sept
Victoriano Arenas
1 : 1
Argentino de Rosario
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Mercedes

(Away)
05 Oct
Deportivo Paraguayo
1 : 1
Mercedes
25 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 0
Puerto Nuevo
20 Sept
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 1
Mercedes
10 Sept
Mercedes
1 : 1
Deportivo Espanol
04 Sept
Mercedes
0 : 3
Defensores de Cambaceres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berazategui 31 12 12 7 37:24 48
2 CSR Espanol 31 12 11 8 42:28 47
3 Sacachispas 31 13 8 10 32:26 47
4 CA Lugano 31 11 13 7 35:28 46
5 Juventud Unida San Miguel 31 12 9 10 38:31 45
6 Estrella Del Sur 31 11 12 8 31:29 45
7 Mercedes 31 11 11 9 30:24 44
8 Victoriano Arenas 31 10 14 7 24:19 44
9 Puerto Nuevo 31 9 11 11 28:35 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 31 9 9 13 25:31 36
11 Justo Jose de Urquiza 31 6 14 11 19:26 32
12 Deportivo Paraguayo 31 7 11 13 23:39 32
13 Leandro N. Alem 31 8 7 16 30:56 31
14 Argentino de Rosario 31 4 15 12 30:41 27
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 31 18 7 6 45:22 61
2 Canuelas 31 16 10 5 39:22 58
3 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 31 13 10 8 32:22 49
4 Deportivo Espanol 31 11 16 4 25:16 49
5 Leones de Rosario 31 12 12 7 29:24 48
6 General Lamadrid 31 9 13 9 23:27 40
7 Sportivo Barracas 31 11 6 14 32:32 39
8 CSD Central Ballester 31 10 8 13 29:30 38
9 Atlas 31 9 10 12 23:27 37
10 El Porvenir 31 7 16 8 26:31 37
11 Yupanqui 31 8 11 12 33:35 35
12 Fenix 31 8 10 13 23:30 34
13 Claypole 31 8 9 14 25:39 33
14 Deportivo Muniz 31 6 11 14 22:36 29
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)