Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Argentino MM vs San Martin Mendoza

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Modesto Marrone, Monte Maiz
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sub
Contreras M. In: Ojeda F.
Out: Contreras M.
26' Event
Blangetti I.
31' Event
Lasserre R.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Argentino MM and San Martin Mendoza finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Argentino MM.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Argentino MM
20%
Draws
38%
San Martin Mendoza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Argentino MM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Argentino MM carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Argentino MM a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Argentino MM Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin Mendoza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Argentino MM San Martin Mendoza
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Torneo Federal
Argentino MM vs San Martin Mendoza
4:1
Jun 22, 2025 Torneo Federal
San Martin Mendoza vs Argentino MM
1:1
Apr 20, 2025 Torneo Federal
Argentino MM vs San Martin Mendoza
0:1
Jul 6, 2024 Torneo Federal
Argentino MM vs San Martin Mendoza
1:0
May 11, 2024 Torneo Federal
San Martin Mendoza vs Argentino MM
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Argentino MM Compare

Top Goalscorer Blangetti I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lasserre R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

San Martin Mendoza Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Argentino MM 51 / 100
San Martin Mendoza 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Argentino MM San Martin Mendoza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Argentino MM stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Argentino MM scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

San Martin Mendoza let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Argentino MM VS San Martin Mendoza
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Argentino MM

(Home)
12 Jul
Argentino MM
0 : 0
Biblioteca Atenas
05 Jul
Cipolletti
2 : 2
Argentino MM
27 Jun
Argentino MM
0 : 0
Juventud U.U.
14 Jun
Fundacion Amigos
2 : 2
Argentino MM
07 Jun
Argentino MM
2 : 0
Deportivo Rincon
Page 1 of 7

San Martin Mendoza

(Away)
12 Jul
Fundacion Amigos
0 : 0
San Martin Mendoza
05 Jul
San Martin Mendoza
1 : 0
Deportivo Rincon
28 Jun
Costa Brava
2 : 1
San Martin Mendoza
20 Jun
San Martin Mendoza
3 : 1
Huracan Las Heras
07 Jun
Biblioteca Atenas
0 : 0
San Martin Mendoza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sportivo Belgrano1778219:729
2Douglas Haig1784520:1428
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1775515:1026
4Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1775522:1826
59 de Julio Rafaela1774627:2525
6Sportivo Las Parejas1758411:1223
7Atletico Escobar1763819:2721
8Independiente Chivilcoy1746714:2118
9Gimnasia E.R.1745812:1717
10El Linqueno1744913:2116
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1583424:1927
2Bartolome Mitre1575313:626
3Sol de America1582518:1226
4Sarmiento de La Banda1573516:1424
5Juventud Antoniana1564516:1122
6Defensores de Vilelas1661921:2619
7Boca Unidos1553719:2218
8Tucuman Central1551913:1816
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1674519:1525
2Argentino MM1557315:1122
3Biblioteca Atenas1564512:1322
4Huracan Las Heras1564511:1322
5Fundacion Amigos1548317:1420
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1546510:1418
8Juventud U.U.1537510:1016
9Deportivo Rincon1544712:1616
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1577111:428
2Alvarado1676319:727
3Kimberley1567214:825
4Villa Mitre1557311:522
5Germinal154657:1218
6Sol de Mayo1545612:1517
7Guillermo Brown1535711:2014
8Santamarina152769:1513
9Circulo Deportivo152677:1512
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)