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Arguineguin vs UD Tegueste - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009 game between Arguineguin and UD Tegueste finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Tegueste.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Arguineguin
20%
Draws
58%
UD Tegueste
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Tegueste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Arguineguin haven't matched UD Tegueste's recent run of results.
  • UD Tegueste are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Arguineguin Clean Sheet 18%
UD Tegueste Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arguineguin UD Tegueste
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arguineguin vs UD Tegueste
2:3
Jan 11, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Tegueste vs Arguineguin
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arguineguin 20 / 100
UD Tegueste 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arguineguin UD Tegueste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Tegueste Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Defensive concern: UD Tegueste conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Arguineguin scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Arguineguin has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arguineguin VS UD Tegueste
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arguineguin

(Home)
28 Jul
Arguineguin
0 : 1
Las Palmas
17 May
Arguineguin
2 : 3
UD Tegueste
10 May
Tenerife B
1 : 3
Arguineguin
06 May
Arguineguin
0 : 3
Los Llanos
03 May
CD Marino
2 : 0
Arguineguin
Page 1 of 6

UD Tegueste

(Away)
17 May
Arguineguin
2 : 3
UD Tegueste
09 May
UD Tegueste
0 : 0
Castillo CF
06 May
Victoria CD
1 : 2
UD Tegueste
03 May
UD Tegueste
0 : 1
SD Tenisca
25 Apr
CD Teguise
1 : 1
UD Tegueste
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife B 38 24 9 5 75:27 81
2 SD Tenisca 38 23 11 4 65:27 80
3 Castillo CF 38 20 9 9 60:32 69
4 Mensajero 38 20 6 12 48:33 66
5 CD Laguna 38 16 11 11 52:33 59
6 Los Llanos 38 14 14 10 57:43 56
7 Galdar 38 14 12 12 40:41 54
8 Atletico Granadilla 38 16 6 16 51:43 54
9 CD Marino 38 15 8 15 45:51 53
10 UD Realejos 38 14 10 14 42:45 52
11 Orientacion Maritima 38 13 11 14 51:52 50
12 Victoria CD 38 13 10 15 48:54 49
13 Univ. Las Palmas B 38 13 7 18 40:52 46
14 Tijarafe 38 11 13 14 44:49 46
15 Las Zocas 38 12 9 17 40:54 45
16 Villa Santa Brigida B 38 8 18 12 42:52 42
17 AD Huracan 38 12 4 22 42:64 40
18 UD Tegueste 38 10 9 19 44:55 39
19 Arguineguin 38 9 8 21 41:67 35
20 CD Teguise 38 6 9 23 31:84 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)