Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ario Eslamshahr vs Besat Kermanshah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ario Eslamshahr host Besat Kermanshah in the Azadegan League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Besat Kermanshah have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Ario Eslamshahr have conceded 0.63 and scored 0.78. Head-to-head, Ario Eslamshahr have won 2 to Besat Kermanshah's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.13 - 0.69) back Ario Eslamshahr to edge this. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ario Eslamshahr
15%
Draws
37%
Besat Kermanshah
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ario Eslamshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ario Eslamshahr lately — more wins on the board than Besat Kermanshah.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 20%
Besat Kermanshah Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ario Eslamshahr Besat Kermanshah
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 11 7
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0.78 0.74
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Besat Kermanshah
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah vs Ario Eslamshahr
1:1
Feb 19, 2025 Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah vs Ario Eslamshahr
0:0
Oct 3, 2024 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Besat Kermanshah
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ario Eslamshahr 32 / 100
Besat Kermanshah 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ario Eslamshahr Besat Kermanshah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besat Kermanshah has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Ario Eslamshahr remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ario Eslamshahr's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ario Eslamshahr VS Besat Kermanshah
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ario Eslamshahr

(Home)
05 Oct
Mes Rafsanjan
1 : 0
Ario Eslamshahr
28 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
2 : 0
Havadar SC
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
16 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
0 : 3
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
17 Jul
Mazandaran
1 : 2
Ario Eslamshahr
Page 1 of 7

Besat Kermanshah

(Away)
05 Oct
Besat Kermanshah
2 : 1
Naft Bandar Abbas
29 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
1 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
22 Sept
Havadar SC
0 : 3
Besat Kermanshah
16 Sept
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 0
Naft Gachsaran
16 Jul
Besat Kermanshah
1 : 2
Pars Janoobi Jam
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)