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Ario Eslamshahr vs Havadar SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
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Match Events

26' Event
Karimi S.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Sadri R.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Ario Eslamshahr and Havadar SC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ario Eslamshahr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Ario Eslamshahr
15%
Draws
8%
Havadar SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ario Eslamshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Havadar SC haven't matched Ario Eslamshahr's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ario Eslamshahr a 77% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 68%
Havadar SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ario Eslamshahr Havadar SC
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 12 13
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.78 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Havadar SC
2:0
Feb 2, 2026 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Havadar SC
0:0
Sep 10, 2025 Azadegan League
Havadar SC vs Ario Eslamshahr
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ario Eslamshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadri R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Havadar SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ario Eslamshahr 95 / 100
Havadar SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ario Eslamshahr Havadar SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ario Eslamshahr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ario Eslamshahr went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Havadar SC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Ario Eslamshahr's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Havadar SC conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ario Eslamshahr VS Havadar SC
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ario Eslamshahr

(Home)
05 Oct
Mes Rafsanjan
1 : 0
Ario Eslamshahr
28 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
2 : 0
Havadar SC
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
16 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
0 : 3
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
17 Jul
Mazandaran
1 : 2
Ario Eslamshahr
Page 1 of 7

Havadar SC

(Away)
05 Oct
Havadar SC
0 : 1
Pars Janoobi Jam
28 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
2 : 0
Havadar SC
22 Sept
Havadar SC
0 : 3
Besat Kermanshah
16 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 0
Havadar SC
16 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3 : 0
Havadar SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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