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Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
01:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ario Eslamshahr host Naft Bandar Abbas in the Azadegan League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Ario Eslamshahr at 0.78 goals for, 0.63 against; Naft Bandar Abbas at 0.77 for, 0.65 against. Head-to-head, Ario Eslamshahr have won 3 to Naft Bandar Abbas's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 16, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 0.88, favoring Ario Eslamshahr. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ario Eslamshahr
20%
Draws
29%
Naft Bandar Abbas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ario Eslamshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ario Eslamshahr come out ahead of Naft Bandar Abbas on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ario Eslamshahr have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 20%
Naft Bandar Abbas Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ario Eslamshahr Naft Bandar Abbas
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 11 8
Draws 12 16
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0.78 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas
1:0
Nov 14, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Bandar Abbas vs Ario Eslamshahr
1:1
Jan 23, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Bandar Abbas vs Ario Eslamshahr
0:1
Sep 9, 2024 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ario Eslamshahr 31 / 100
Naft Bandar Abbas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ario Eslamshahr Naft Bandar Abbas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ario Eslamshahr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Ario Eslamshahr has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ario Eslamshahr found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).

Naft Bandar Abbas let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ario Eslamshahr VS Naft Bandar Abbas
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ario Eslamshahr

(Home)
05 Oct
Mes Rafsanjan
1 : 0
Ario Eslamshahr
28 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
2 : 0
Havadar SC
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
16 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
0 : 3
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
17 Jul
Mazandaran
1 : 2
Ario Eslamshahr
Page 1 of 7

Naft Bandar Abbas

(Away)
05 Oct
Besat Kermanshah
2 : 1
Naft Bandar Abbas
28 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
0 : 0
Naft Gachsaran
22 Sept
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
0 : 1
Naft Bandar Abbas
15 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
1 : 1
Shahin Bandar Ameri
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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