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Ario Eslamshahr vs Pars Janoobi Jam

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
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Match Events

87' Event
Balooli M.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Ario Eslamshahr and Pars Janoobi Jam finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ario Eslamshahr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Ario Eslamshahr
22%
Draws
60%
Pars Janoobi Jam
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Pars Janoobi Jam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pars Janoobi Jam come out ahead of Ario Eslamshahr on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Pars Janoobi Jam taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 26%
Pars Janoobi Jam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ario Eslamshahr Pars Janoobi Jam
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 14 11
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Pars Janoobi Jam
1:0
Sep 30, 2025 Azadegan League
Pars Janoobi Jam vs Ario Eslamshahr
1:0
Mar 17, 2025 Azadegan League
Pars Janoobi Jam vs Ario Eslamshahr
2:2
Oct 29, 2024 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Pars Janoobi Jam
1:1
Apr 3, 2024 Azadegan League
Pars Janoobi Jam vs Ario Eslamshahr
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ario Eslamshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Balooli M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Pars Janoobi Jam Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ario Eslamshahr 21 / 100
Pars Janoobi Jam 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ario Eslamshahr Pars Janoobi Jam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ario Eslamshahr stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ario Eslamshahr scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Pars Janoobi Jam conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ario Eslamshahr VS Pars Janoobi Jam
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran34209548:1769
2Mes Shahr Babak341911441:1468
3Sanat Naft341612637:2160
4Pars Janoobi Jam341612644:2260
5Saipa341611730:1859
6Havadar SC341117632:2350
7Naft Bandar Abbas341017726:1947
8Fard341016824:1546
9Mes Kerman341015923:1845
10Ario Eslamshahr34916919:1843
11Besat Kermanshah349111425:3238
12Kara Gostar Shabestar349101517:3437
13Niroye Zamini348121428:3136
14Shenavarsazi Qeshm348111523:3635
15Naft Gachsaran347141325:4135
16Shahrdari Noshahr345151418:2930
17Navad Urmia344121816:4824
18Damash Gilan342131916:5619