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Ario Eslamshahr vs Shahrdari Astara

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Azimi A.
86' Event
Fazeli H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League 2024/2025 game between Ario Eslamshahr and Shahrdari Astara finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ario Eslamshahr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ario Eslamshahr
6%
Draws
4%
Shahrdari Astara
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ario Eslamshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ario Eslamshahr carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ario Eslamshahr taking it.
  • Regular Azadegan League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ario Eslamshahr have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 68%
Shahrdari Astara Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ario Eslamshahr Shahrdari Astara
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 0
Draws 15 7
Losses 8 23
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Astara vs Ario Eslamshahr
0:3
Dec 28, 2024 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Shahrdari Astara
2:0
May 16, 2024 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Astara vs Ario Eslamshahr
3:2
Nov 29, 2023 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Shahrdari Astara
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ario Eslamshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Azimi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Shahrdari Astara Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ario Eslamshahr 95 / 100
Shahrdari Astara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ario Eslamshahr Shahrdari Astara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shahrdari Astara conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Shahrdari Astara has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Ario Eslamshahr has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ario Eslamshahr VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fajr Sepasi34199639:1766
2Paykan341613543:2161
3Saipa34179834:2360
4Sanat Naft341514528:1559
5Ario Eslamshahr341416433:1858
6Pars Janoobi Jam341411940:3053
7Mes Shahr Babak341213934:2549
8Shahrdari Noshahr3412101237:3246
9Naft Bandar Abbas3410121232:3042
10Mes Kerman34818823:2142
11Besat Kermanshah349151026:2542
12Naft Gachsaran3410121227:2842
13Niroye Zamini347161119:2337
14Kara Gostar Shabestar347151234:4136
15Damash Gilan346161220:3934
16Naft Masjed-Soleyman346151329:3633
17Shahre Raz347121527:3433
18Shahrdari Astara34082614:818