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Ario Eslamshahr vs Shahrdari Noshahr

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Yousefi M.
37'
45' Event
Bahan R.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Ario Eslamshahr and Shahrdari Noshahr finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ario Eslamshahr
17%
Draws
13%
Shahrdari Noshahr
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ario Eslamshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ario Eslamshahr come out ahead of Shahrdari Noshahr on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ario Eslamshahr a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 2%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 68%
Shahrdari Noshahr Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ario Eslamshahr Shahrdari Noshahr
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 14 13
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 0.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Shahrdari Noshahr
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Ario Eslamshahr
1:0
Feb 25, 2025 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Shahrdari Noshahr
0:0
Oct 10, 2024 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Ario Eslamshahr
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ario Eslamshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Yousefi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Shahrdari Noshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Bahan R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ario Eslamshahr 77 / 100
Shahrdari Noshahr 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ario Eslamshahr Shahrdari Noshahr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shahrdari Noshahr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Ario Eslamshahr stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Ario Eslamshahr scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 0.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ario Eslamshahr VS Shahrdari Noshahr
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran34209548:1769
2Mes Shahr Babak341911441:1468
3Sanat Naft341612637:2160
4Pars Janoobi Jam341612644:2260
5Saipa341611730:1859
6Havadar SC341117632:2350
7Naft Bandar Abbas341017726:1947
8Fard341016824:1546
9Mes Kerman341015923:1845
10Ario Eslamshahr34916919:1843
11Besat Kermanshah349111425:3238
12Kara Gostar Shabestar349101517:3437
13Niroye Zamini348121428:3136
14Shenavarsazi Qeshm348111523:3635
15Naft Gachsaran347141325:4135
16Shahrdari Noshahr345151418:2930
17Navad Urmia344121816:4824
18Damash Gilan342131916:5619