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Ario Eslamshahr vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Alizadeh M.
59' Event
Dehghani H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Azadegan League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ario Eslamshahr
39%
Draws
31%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ario Eslamshahr lately — more wins on the board than Shenavarsazi Qeshm.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 20%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ario Eslamshahr Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 6
Draws 14 11
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1:1
Jan 3, 2026 Azadegan League
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Ario Eslamshahr
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ario Eslamshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Alizadeh M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Shenavarsazi Qeshm Compare

Top Goalscorer Dehghani H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ario Eslamshahr 31 / 100
Shenavarsazi Qeshm 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ario Eslamshahr Shenavarsazi Qeshm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shenavarsazi Qeshm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Ario Eslamshahr went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ario Eslamshahr scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Ario Eslamshahr VS Shenavarsazi Qeshm
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ario Eslamshahr

(Home)
17 Jul
Mazandaran
1 : 2
Ario Eslamshahr
11 Jul
Ario Eslamshahr
1 : 1
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
03 Jul
Damash Gilan
1 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
27 Jun
Ario Eslamshahr
2 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
21 Jun
Saipa
1 : 0
Ario Eslamshahr
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Shenavarsazi Qeshm

(Away)
16 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3 : 0
Havadar SC
11 Jul
Ario Eslamshahr
1 : 1
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
03 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 3
Mes Shahr Babak
27 Jun
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
21 Jun
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
4 : 2
Naft Gachsaran
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran34209548:1769
2Mes Shahr Babak341911441:1468
3Sanat Naft341612637:2160
4Pars Janoobi Jam341612644:2260
5Saipa341611730:1859
6Havadar SC341117632:2350
7Naft Bandar Abbas341017726:1947
8Fard341016824:1546
9Mes Kerman341015923:1845
10Ario Eslamshahr34916919:1843
11Besat Kermanshah349111425:3238
12Kara Gostar Shabestar349101517:3437
13Niroye Zamini348121428:3136
14Shenavarsazi Qeshm348111523:3635
15Naft Gachsaran347141325:4135
16Shahrdari Noshahr345151418:2930
17Navad Urmia344121816:4824
18Damash Gilan342131916:5619
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2026/2027 (Main)
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