Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ario Eslamshahr vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Alizadeh M.
59' Event
Dehghani H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Azadegan League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ario Eslamshahr
35%
Draws
28%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ario Eslamshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ario Eslamshahr lately — more wins on the board than Shenavarsazi Qeshm.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 20%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ario Eslamshahr Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 13 11
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 0.71 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1:1
Jan 3, 2026 Azadegan League
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Ario Eslamshahr
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ario Eslamshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Alizadeh M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Shenavarsazi Qeshm Compare

Top Goalscorer Dehghani H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ario Eslamshahr 32 / 100
Shenavarsazi Qeshm 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ario Eslamshahr Shenavarsazi Qeshm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shenavarsazi Qeshm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Ario Eslamshahr went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ario Eslamshahr scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Ario Eslamshahr VS Shenavarsazi Qeshm
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ario Eslamshahr

(Home)
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
16 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
0 : 3
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
17 Jul
Mazandaran
1 : 2
Ario Eslamshahr
11 Jul
Ario Eslamshahr
1 : 1
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
03 Jul
Damash Gilan
1 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
Page 1 of 7

Shenavarsazi Qeshm

(Away)
21 Sept
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
2 : 2
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
15 Sept
Pars Janoobi Jam
0 : 0
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
16 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3 : 0
Havadar SC
11 Jul
Ario Eslamshahr
1 : 1
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
03 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 3
Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
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