Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Aris Filiaton

0 - 1

Elassona

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 game between Aris Filiaton and Elassona finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elassona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Aris Filiaton

Draws

Elassona

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aris Filiaton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Aris Filiaton's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Elassona have produced (0.88).
Model gives Aris Filiaton a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Elassona here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Aris Filiaton Clean Sheet 68%

Elassona Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aris Filiaton	Elassona
Matches Played	31	34
Wins	13	13
Draws	9	14
Losses	9	7
Goals Scored	1.13	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Aris Filiaton vs Elassona

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Jan 7, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Elassona vs Aris Filiaton

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Oct 5, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Aris Filiaton vs Elassona

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Filiaton 95 / 100

Elassona 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aris Filiaton Elassona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aris Filiaton scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Elassona conceded in 65% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Aris Filiaton remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aris Filiaton VS Elassona

1.13 Goals Scored 0.88

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63

50% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 13%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Elassona	27	13	13	3	30:21	46
2	Lamia	27	11	14	3	36:18	44
3	Aris Filiaton	27	13	9	7	32:22	42
4	AO Trikala	27	11	13	5	31:20	40
5	Asteras Stavrou	27	12	9	8	32:34	39
6	Tilikratis Lefkada	27	10	11	8	26:27	35