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Aris Petroupolis vs Amarynthiakos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aris Petroupolis in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aris Petroupolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Aris Petroupolis
15%
Draws
0%
Amarynthiakos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aris Petroupolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aris Petroupolis have won more games recently than Amarynthiakos.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Aris Petroupolis taking it.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Aris Petroupolis Clean Sheet 68%
Amarynthiakos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Petroupolis Amarynthiakos
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 22
Goals Scored 1.45 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.55 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.84 0.59
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Amarynthiakos vs Aris Petroupolis
0:1
Nov 30, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Aris Petroupolis vs Amarynthiakos
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Petroupolis 95 / 100
Amarynthiakos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Petroupolis Amarynthiakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Petroupolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Amarynthiakos conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Amarynthiakos registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aris Petroupolis scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Aris Petroupolis stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aris Petroupolis VS Amarynthiakos
1.25 Goals Scored 0.43
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.43
38% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris Petroupolis

(Home)
17 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2
Pyrgos
13 May
Zakynthos
1 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
10 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
03 May
Pyrgos
1 : 0
Aris Petroupolis
29 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Zakynthos
Page 1 of 7

Amarynthiakos

(Away)
08 Apr
Amarynthiakos
0 : 2
Doxa Vyronas
05 Apr
Apollon Kalythion
1 : 0
Amarynthiakos
01 Apr
Amarynthiakos
0 : 2
Kentavros Vrilission
28 Mar
Nea Ionia
1 : 0
Amarynthiakos
01 Mar
Amarynthiakos
0 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aris Petroupolis 22 15 6 1 36:11 51
2 Nea Artaki 22 13 8 1 26:8 47
3 Diagoras FC 22 9 8 5 28:15 35
4 AO Karystou 22 9 8 5 22:12 35
5 Afantou 22 9 5 8 25:24 32
6 E. Asteras 22 9 5 8 32:26 32
7 Nea Ionia 22 9 4 9 23:23 31
8 Doxa Vyronas 22 8 7 7 32:21 31
9 Apollon Kalythion 22 9 4 9 32:31 31
10 Kentavros Vrilission 22 8 3 11 27:30 27
11 Amarynthiakos 22 4 2 16 20:36 14
12 Rodos 22 0 0 22 0:66 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Losers stage)