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Aris Petroupolis vs Ellopiakos Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ellopiakos in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ellopiakos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aris Petroupolis
20%
Draws
47%
Ellopiakos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ellopiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aris Petroupolis lately — more wins on the board than Ellopiakos.
  • Aris Petroupolis are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Aris Petroupolis Clean Sheet 20%
Ellopiakos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Petroupolis Ellopiakos
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 26 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Aris Petroupolis vs Ellopiakos
0:1
Oct 29, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ellopiakos vs Aris Petroupolis
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris Petroupolis 42 / 100
Ellopiakos 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Petroupolis Ellopiakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aris Petroupolis found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (42 games).

Ellopiakos let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Aris Petroupolis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aris Petroupolis VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris Petroupolis

(Home)
17 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2
Pyrgos
13 May
Zakynthos
1 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
10 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
03 May
Pyrgos
1 : 0
Aris Petroupolis
29 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Zakynthos
Page 1 of 9

Ellopiakos

(Away)
28 Apr
Ellopiakos
3 : 3
Ipato
24 Apr
Ellopiakos
2 : 0
Ermis Zonianon
20 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
0 : 1
Ellopiakos
14 Apr
Ellopiakos
1 : 0
Chaidari
07 Apr
Panionios
5 : 0
Ellopiakos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)