Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aris vs Panetolikos

Greece Greece

Greek Cup Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Moron L.
Assist: Misehouy G.
35'
Moron L.
44' Event
Racic U.
Assist: Misehouy G.

AI Match Summary

Aris in this Greek Cup tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aris
6%
Draws
4%
Panetolikos
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aris lately — more wins on the board than Panetolikos.
  • Aris are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Aris have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aris, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aris have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Aris Clean Sheet 68%
Panetolikos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Panetolikos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 12 8
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs Aris
0:1
Jan 6, 2026 Greek Cup
Aris vs Panetolikos
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 Greek Cup
Panetolikos vs Aris
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Super League
Aris vs Panetolikos
0:2
Feb 23, 2025 Super League
Aris vs Panetolikos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aris Compare

Top Goalscorer Moron L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Racic U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Panetolikos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris 95 / 100
Panetolikos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Panetolikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panetolikos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Aris has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aris's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aris VS Panetolikos
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris

(Home)
17 May
Aris
3 : 0
Levadiakos
13 May
Volos
1 : 2
Aris
10 May
Aris
3 : 1
OFI Crete
03 May
OFI Crete
0 : 2
Aris
18 Apr
Aris
3 : 2
Volos
Page 1 of 6

Panetolikos

(Away)
16 Jul
Omonia
2 : 1
Panetolikos
21 May
Panetolikos
1 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
17 May
Panserraikos
1 : 1
Panetolikos
12 May
Panetolikos
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
09 May
Atromitos
1 : 2
Panetolikos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Olympiacos Piraeus-
TBD-
PAOK2
Atromitos1
Panathinaikos-
TBD-
Aris2
Panetolikos0
Levadiakos-
TBD-
Volos0
Kifisia1
AEK-
TBD-
OFI Crete2
Asteras Tripolis0
Quarter-finals
Olympiacos Piraeus0
PAOK2
Panathinaikos3
Aris0
Levadiakos2
Kifisia0
AEK0
OFI Crete1
Semi-finals
PAOK3
Panathinaikos0
Levadiakos1
OFI Crete2
Final
PAOK2
OFI Crete3