Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aris vs Panetolikos

Greece Greece

Greek Cup 2025/2026 Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Moron L.
Assist: Misehouy G.
35'
Moron L.
44' Event
Racic U.
Assist: Misehouy G.

AI Match Summary

Aris in this Greek Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Aris
20%
Draws
51%
Panetolikos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Panetolikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aris lately — more wins on the board than Panetolikos.
  • Panetolikos are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Aris have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aris, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aris have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Aris Clean Sheet 11%
Panetolikos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Panetolikos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.3 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs Aris
0:1
Jan 6, 2026 Greek Cup
Aris vs Panetolikos
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 Greek Cup
Panetolikos vs Aris
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Super League
Aris vs Panetolikos
0:2
Feb 23, 2025 Super League
Aris vs Panetolikos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aris Compare

Top Goalscorer Moron L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Racic U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Panetolikos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris 22 / 100
Panetolikos 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Panetolikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panetolikos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panetolikos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Aris scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Aris has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aris VS Panetolikos
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris

(Home)
19 Sept
Aris
0 : 0
Iraklis FC
16 Sept
Aris
1 : 0
Marko
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Aris
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
Page 1 of 6

Panetolikos

(Away)
13 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Panetolikos
06 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 2
Panetolikos
29 Aug
Panetolikos
2 : 0
Kalamata
23 Aug
Panetolikos
3 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
19 Aug
Kalamata
4 : 2
Panetolikos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
PAOK 2
Atromitos 1
Panathinaikos -
TBD -
Aris 2
Panetolikos 0
Levadiakos -
TBD -
Volos 0
Kifisia 1
AEK -
TBD -
OFI Crete 2
Asteras Tripolis 0
Quarter-finals
Olympiacos Piraeus 0
PAOK 2
Panathinaikos 3
Aris 0
Levadiakos 2
Kifisia 0
AEK 0
OFI Crete 1
Semi-finals
PAOK 3
Panathinaikos 0
Levadiakos 1
OFI Crete 2
Final
PAOK 2
OFI Crete 3