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Aris vs Panserraikos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Greek Cup Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Thessaloniki
Wed, Dec 2, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Greek Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Panserraikos have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Aris have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Aris have won 2 to Panserraikos's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.50 - 1.06) back Aris to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Aris
30%
Draws
27%
Panserraikos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Aris carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aris are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Aris have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aris, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aris Clean Sheet 20%
Panserraikos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aris Panserraikos
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Aris vs Panserraikos
2:2
Mar 14, 2026 Super League
Panserraikos vs Aris
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Super League
Aris vs Panserraikos
1:1
Dec 15, 2024 Super League
Aris vs Panserraikos
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 Super League
Panserraikos vs Aris
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aris 49 / 100
Panserraikos 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aris Panserraikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Aris remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Aris scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Panserraikos conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aris VS Panserraikos
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aris

(Home)
25 Oct
Aris
3 : 1
Atromitos
18 Oct
Kifisia
1 : 2
Aris
11 Oct
Aris
3 : 2
Volos
19 Sept
Aris
0 : 0
Iraklis FC
16 Sept
Aris
1 : 0
Marko
Page 1 of 6

Panserraikos

(Away)
27 Oct
Panserraikos
0 : 1
Niki Volos
24 Oct
Panserraikos
3 : 2
Ellas Syrou
18 Oct
AEL Larissa
0 : 0
Panserraikos
10 Oct
Panserraikos
2 : 1
Chrisoupolis
03 Oct
Panthrakikos
1 : 1
Panserraikos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK 2 2 0 0 10:1 6
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
3 Panathinaikos 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 OFI Crete 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
5 Asteras Tripolis 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
6 Aris 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 PAOK 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
8 Kifisia 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
9 Atromitos 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Niki Volos 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
11 Kalamata 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 Volos 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
13 Marko 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
14 AEL Larissa 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
15 Chrisoupolis 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
16 Panserraikos 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)