Sport Picks

USA

USL 2016

Ventura County

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arizona United play Ventura County in the USL 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arizona United averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Ventura County averaged 1.84 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. In past meetings, Arizona United won 2, Ventura County won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 1, 2016 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Arizona United and 1.36 for Ventura County. This points to a Ventura County double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Arizona United

15%

Draws

47%

Ventura County

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ventura County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Arizona United picked up more points recently compared to Ventura County.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.36 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%

Arizona United Clean Sheet 18%

Ventura County Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arizona United	Ventura County
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	9	15
Draws	7	0
Losses	14	17
Goals Scored	1.43	1.84
Goals Conceded	1.57	1.94

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2016 USL Championship

Arizona United vs Ventura County

Possession: 45% - 46% Cards: 0 - 4

1:2

May 29, 2016 USL Championship

Ventura County vs Arizona United

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Mar 27, 2016 USL Championship

Ventura County vs Arizona United

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Aug 30, 2015 USL Championship

Arizona United vs Ventura County

Possession: 47% - 56% Cards: 0 - 4

2:1

Aug 9, 2015 USL Championship

Ventura County vs Arizona United

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 3 - 4

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arizona United Compare

Top Goalscorer Rooney L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Ventura County Compare

Top Goalscorer Lassiter A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Amaya A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arizona United 38 / 100

Ventura County 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arizona United Ventura County

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ventura County or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arizona United attacking → ← attacking Ventura County

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arizona United scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Ventura County let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Arizona United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ventura County lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 45

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sacramento Republic	30	14	10	6	43:27	52
2	Rio Grande Valley FC Toros	30	14	9	7	47:24	51
3	Colorado Springs	30	14	7	9	37:27	49
4	Sporting Kansas City II	30	14	6	10	45:36	48
5	Ventura County	30	12	11	7	52:42	47
6	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	30	12	9	9	44:44	45
7	Oklahoma City Energy FC	30	10	13	7	32:30	43
8	Orange County SC	30	12	4	14	39:41	40
9	Portland Timbers 2	30	12	4	14	38:42	40
10	San Antonio FC	30	10	8	12	36:36	38
11	Real Monarchs	30	10	6	14	31:41	36
12	Tacoma Defiance	30	9	8	13	35:50	35
13	Arizona United	30	9	7	14	40:46	34
14	St. Louis FC	30	8	10	12	42:44	34
15	FC Tulsa	30	5	4	21	25:64	19

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	30	21	6	3	61:21	69
2	Louisville City	30	17	9	4	52:27	60
3	FC Cincinnati	30	16	8	6	41:27	56
4	Rochester New York	30	13	12	5	38:25	51
5	Charlotte Independence	30	14	8	8	48:29	50
6	Charleston	30	13	9	8	38:33	48
7	Richmond Kickers	30	12	9	9	33:26	45
8	Orlando City B	30	9	8	13	35:49	35
9	Wilmington Hammerheads	30	8	10	12	37:47	34
10	Penn Football Club	30	8	7	15	37:54	31
11	Bethlehem Steel FC	30	6	10	14	32:43	28
12	Toronto FC II	30	7	5	18	36:58	26
13	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	30	6	7	17	31:50	25
14	FC Montreal	30	7	2	21	35:57	23