Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Polish Cup 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski w Gdyni, Gdynia
Arka Gdynia Logo

Arka Gdynia

Thu, Sep 25, 2025
1 - 0
06:30 PM
Motor Lublin Logo

Motor Lublin

Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Bartos M.
43'
Ndiaye M.
58'
Sub
Percan D. In: Jakubczyk K.
Out: Percan D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arka Gdynia in this Polish Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Arka Gdynia
20%
Draws
29%
Motor Lublin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arka Gdynia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Arka Gdynia haven't matched Motor Lublin's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Arka Gdynia taking it.
  • Motor Lublin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Arka Gdynia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Arka Gdynia Clean Sheet 68%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arka Gdynia Motor Lublin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin
1:0
Sep 25, 2025 Polish Cup
Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin
1:0
Jul 20, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Arka Gdynia
1:0
Jun 2, 2024 Division 1
Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin
1:2
Apr 12, 2024 Division 1
Motor Lublin vs Arka Gdynia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arka Gdynia Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakubczyk K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Motor Lublin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arka Gdynia 50 / 100
Motor Lublin 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arka Gdynia Motor Lublin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arka Gdynia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arka Gdynia's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Motor Lublin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Arka Gdynia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arka Gdynia VS Motor Lublin
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arka Gdynia

(Home)
03 Oct
Arka Gdynia
3 : 2
IFK Goteborg
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1
Arka Gdynia
12 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 0
Arka Gdynia
06 Sept
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1
LKS Lodz
02 Sept
R. Rzeszow
0 : 4
Arka Gdynia
Page 1 of 6

Motor Lublin

(Away)
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1
Motor Lublin
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3
Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0
Legia
29 Aug
Motor Lublin
0 : 2
Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Zawisza -
TBD -
TBD -
Tychy -
GKS Wikielec -
TBD -
Podbeskidzie 2
R. Rzeszow 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
TBD -
Hutnik Krakow 3
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0
Bytom Odrzanski -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla -
Beskid Andrychow -
TBD -
Chojniczanka 2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1
Legnica II -
TBD -
Swit Szczecin 2
LKS Lodz II 1
Malapanew Ozimek -
TBD -
TBD -
Pruszkow -
S. Rzeszow -
TBD -
TBD -
Korona Kielce -
LKS Lomza -
TBD -
TBD -
Odra Opole -
Korona Kielce II -
TBD -
TBD -
Piast Gliwice -
Gryf Slupsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Warszawa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Stal Mielec -
TBD -
TBD -
Puszcza -
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3
Wisla Pulawy 0
TBD -
Lechia Gdansk -
Arka Gdynia -
TBD -
TBD -
Motor Lublin -
Legia II -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Avia Swidnik -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruch Chorzow -
Swinoujscie -
TBD -
KKS Kalisz 0
GKS Jastrzebie 2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II -
TBD -
Stal Stalowa Wola 3
Skra Czestochowa 1
Warta Poznan 1
Olimpia Elblag 0
Polonia Bytom 7
Zaglebie II 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
TBD -
KS Wieczysta Krakow 0
Ol. Grudziadz 1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki -
TBD -
TBD -
Slask Wroclaw -
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leczna -
TBD -
TBD -
Cracovia -
LKS Lodz -
TBD -
TBD -
Chrobry Glogow -
GKS Katowice -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla Plock -
Legnica -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogon Siedlce -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Legia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kotwica Kolobrzeg -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogon Szczecin -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
TBD -
TBD -
Widzew Lodz -
Radomiak Radom -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaglebie -
1/32-finals
Zawisza 2
Tychy 0
GKS Wikielec 2
Podbeskidzie 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0
Hutnik Krakow 1
Bytom Odrzanski 0
Wisla 1
Beskid Andrychow 0
Chojniczanka 3
Legnica II 1
Swit Szczecin 3
Malapanew Ozimek 1
Pruszkow 2
S. Rzeszow 0
Korona Kielce 1
LKS Lomza 0
Odra Opole 2
Korona Kielce II 0
Piast Gliwice 1
Gryf Slupsk 1
Polonia Warszawa 0
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Stal Mielec 1
Puszcza 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 0
Lechia Gdansk 1
Arka Gdynia 1
Motor Lublin 0
Legia II 0
Gornik Zabrze 3
Avia Swidnik 3
Ruch Chorzow 1
Swinoujscie 3
GKS Jastrzebie 2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II 3
Stal Stalowa Wola 1
Warta Poznan 0
Polonia Bytom 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 1
Ol. Grudziadz 3
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 1
Slask Wroclaw 2
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
Leczna 1
Cracovia 5
LKS Lodz 5
Chrobry Glogow 3
GKS Katowice 4
Wisla Plock 2
Legnica 2
Pogon Siedlce 0
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Legia -
TBD -
Kotwica Kolobrzeg 0
Pogon Szczecin 3
Termalica Bruk-Bet 2
Widzew Lodz 3
Radomiak Radom 0
Zaglebie 2
1/16-finals
Zawisza 3
GKS Wikielec 0
Hutnik Krakow 0
Wisla 1
Chojniczanka 3
Swit Szczecin 1
Pruszkow 0
Korona Kielce 3
Odra Opole 0
Piast Gliwice 2
Gryf Slupsk 1
Lech Poznan 2
Puszcza 1
Lechia Gdansk 3
Arka Gdynia 1
Gornik Zabrze 2
Avia Swidnik 3
Swinoujscie 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj II 0
Polonia Bytom 7
Ol. Grudziadz 0
Slask Wroclaw 1
Rakow Czestochowa 3
Cracovia 0
LKS Lodz 1
GKS Katowice 2
Legnica 2
Jagiellonia 3
Legia 1
Pogon Szczecin 2
Widzew Lodz 1
Zaglebie 0
1/8-finals
Zawisza 4
Wisla 1
Chojniczanka 2
Korona Kielce 1
Piast Gliwice 0
Lech Poznan 2
Lechia Gdansk 1
Gornik Zabrze 3
Avia Swidnik 4
Polonia Bytom 2
Slask Wroclaw 1
Rakow Czestochowa 2
GKS Katowice 3
Jagiellonia 1
Pogon Szczecin 0
Widzew Lodz 1
Quarter-finals
Zawisza 2
Chojniczanka 1
Lech Poznan 0
Gornik Zabrze 1
Avia Swidnik 1
Rakow Czestochowa 2
GKS Katowice 2
Widzew Lodz 1
Semi-finals
Zawisza 0
Gornik Zabrze 1
Rakow Czestochowa 5
GKS Katowice 4
Final
Gornik Zabrze 2
Rakow Czestochowa 0