Sport Picks
Arka Gdynia vs Puszcza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Division 1 Stadion Miejski w Gdyni, Gdynia 
Match Events
6'
6'
Gutkovskis V.
11'
11'
Piekarski A.
17'
17'
Szota S.
Assist: Ambrosiewicz M.
AI Match Summary
The Division 1 game between Arka Gdynia and Puszcza finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arka Gdynia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arka Gdynia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Arka Gdynia haven't matched Puszcza's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Arka Gdynia Clean Sheet 14%
Puszcza Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arka Gdynia | Puszcza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 17, 2026 Division 1
Arka Gdynia vs Puszcza
3:0
Apr 30, 2023 Division 1
Arka Gdynia vs Puszcza
1:1
Oct 2, 2022 Division 1
Puszcza vs Arka Gdynia
2:0
Apr 10, 2022 Division 1
Puszcza vs Arka Gdynia
2:3
Sep 25, 2021 Division 1
Arka Gdynia vs Puszcza
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arka Gdynia Compare
Top Goalscorer Gutkovskis V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Szota S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Puszcza Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arka Gdynia 35 / 100
Puszcza 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arka Gdynia Puszcza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Puszcza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Puszcza has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.
Attacking prowess: Arka Gdynia scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Puszcza's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Arka Gdynia VS Puszcza
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Arka Gdynia
(Home) 18 Oct
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1 Arka Gdynia
10 Oct
Arka Gdynia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
03 Oct
Arka Gdynia
3 : 2 IFK Goteborg
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1 Arka Gdynia
12 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 0 Arka Gdynia
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Arka Gdynia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
03 Oct
Arka Gdynia
3 : 2 IFK Goteborg
06 Sept
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1 LKS Lodz
30 Aug
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1 Polonia Bytom
17 Aug
Arka Gdynia
3 : 0 Puszcza
Page 1 of 3
Puszcza
(Away) 19 Oct
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 0 Puszcza
15 Oct
Pogon Siedlce
1 : 3 Puszcza
11 Oct
Puszcza
0 : 1 Polonia Bytom
02 Oct
KS Wieczysta Krakow
4 : 3 Puszcza
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2 Puszcza
Page 1 of 6
19 Oct
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 0 Puszcza
15 Oct
Pogon Siedlce
1 : 3 Puszcza
02 Oct
KS Wieczysta Krakow
4 : 3 Puszcza
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2 Puszcza
01 Sept
Plock II
0 : 2 Puszcza
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:9 | 21 |
| 2 | Polonia Warszawa | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 20 |
| 3 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 4 | Lechia Gdansk | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Warta Poznan | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 19:15 | 18 |
| 6 | LKS Lodz | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 18 |
| 7 | Ruch Chorzow | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 18 |
| 8 | Legnica | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:10 | 17 |
| 9 | S. Rzeszow | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:20 | 17 |
| 10 | Polonia Bytom | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18:19 | 15 |
| 11 | Chrobry Glogow | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:15 | 12 |
| 12 | Pogon Siedlce | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:15 | 12 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | 12 |
| 14 | Stal Mielec | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:27 | 12 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 16 | Podbeskidzie | 11 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 17 | Unia Skierniewice | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 11 |
| 18 | Puszcza | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11:16 | 9 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
