Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arka Gdynia vs Spartak Subotica

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Tomovic S.
(Penalty)
11' Event
Oliveira J.
32' Event
Gutkovskis V.

AI Match Summary

Arka Gdynia in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arka Gdynia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Arka Gdynia
6%
Draws
4%
Spartak Subotica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Arka Gdynia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arka Gdynia lately — more wins on the board than Spartak Subotica.
  • Win probability leans Arka Gdynia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Arka Gdynia Clean Sheet 17%
Spartak Subotica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arka Gdynia Spartak Subotica
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 2
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Arka Gdynia vs Spartak Subotica
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arka Gdynia Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gutkovskis V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Spartak Subotica Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arka Gdynia 84 / 100
Spartak Subotica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arka Gdynia Spartak Subotica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Spartak Subotica conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Spartak Subotica's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Arka Gdynia scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Arka Gdynia VS Spartak Subotica
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%