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Arkadag vs Altyn Asyr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Wed, Nov 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arkadag host Altyn Asyr in the Yokary Liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Altyn Asyr have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Arkadag have conceded 0.48 and scored 3.55. Past meetings favor Arkadag slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 2:5. The numbers (2.38 xG vs 1.38) point toward Arkadag. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Arkadag
15%
Draws
38%
Altyn Asyr
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arkadag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Arkadag have won more games recently than Altyn Asyr.
  • Win probability leans Arkadag's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Arkadag have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Arkadag Clean Sheet 17%
Altyn Asyr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arkadag Altyn Asyr
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 27 20
Draws 0 3
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 3.55 2.24
Goals Conceded 0.48 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Arkadag
2:5
May 23, 2026 Yokary Liga
Arkadag vs Altyn Asyr
5:0
Apr 18, 2026 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Arkadag
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Yokary Liga
Arkadag vs Altyn Asyr
2:0
Aug 15, 2025 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Arkadag
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arkadag 84 / 100
Altyn Asyr 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arkadag Altyn Asyr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arkadag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arkadag's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Arkadag has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Altyn Asyr has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arkadag VS Altyn Asyr
3.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arkadag

(Home)
03 Oct
Arkadag
5 : 0
Kopetdag Asgabat
28 Sept
Ahal
0 : 4
Arkadag
24 Sept
Merw
0 : 5
Arkadag
20 Sept
Kopetdag Asgabat
0 : 1
Arkadag
15 Sept
Arkadag
1 : 0
Al Muharraq
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Altyn Asyr

(Away)
11 Oct
FC Asgabat
2 : 4
Altyn Asyr
07 Oct
Ahal
0 : 2
Altyn Asyr
19 Sept
Nebitci
1 : 3
Altyn Asyr
12 Sept
Altyn Asyr
2 : 0
Sagadam
22 Aug
Altyn Asyr
2 : 5
Arkadag
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