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Arkadag vs Nebitci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arkadag host Nebitci in the Yokary Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Arkadag at 3.44 goals for, 0.47 against; Nebitci at 0.9 for, 1.72 against. Head-to-head, Arkadag have won 5 to Nebitci's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 2:4. Model xG sits at 2.25 vs 1.00, favoring Arkadag. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Arkadag
15%
Draws
18%
Nebitci
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arkadag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Arkadag carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Arkadag taking it.
  • Regular Yokary Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Arkadag have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Arkadag Clean Sheet 20%
Nebitci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arkadag Nebitci
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 32 9
Draws 0 5
Losses 2 15
Goals Scored 3.44 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.47 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs Arkadag
2:4
Jun 7, 2026 Yokary Liga
Arkadag vs Nebitci
4:1
Apr 26, 2026 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs Arkadag
0:2
Dec 14, 2025 Yokary Liga
Arkadag vs Nebitci
4:1
Aug 11, 2025 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs Arkadag
1:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arkadag 85 / 100
Nebitci 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arkadag Nebitci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arkadag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arkadag found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (34 games).

These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Arkadag stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Nebitci let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Arkadag VS Nebitci
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arkadag

(Home)
03 Oct
Arkadag
5 : 0
Kopetdag Asgabat
28 Sept
Ahal
0 : 4
Arkadag
24 Sept
Merw
0 : 5
Arkadag
20 Sept
Kopetdag Asgabat
0 : 1
Arkadag
15 Sept
Arkadag
1 : 0
Al Muharraq
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Nebitci

(Away)
11 Oct
Nebitci
3 : 0
Sagadam
19 Sept
Nebitci
1 : 3
Altyn Asyr
12 Sept
Ahal
3 : 0
Nebitci
05 Sept
Nebitci
2 : 4
Arkadag
30 Aug
Kopetdag Asgabat
2 : 2
Nebitci
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