Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arkadag vs Sagadam

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga 2025
Arkadag Logo

Arkadag

2 - 0
FT
Sagadam Logo

Sagadam

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arkadag in this Yokary Liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arkadag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Arkadag
15%
Draws
24%
Sagadam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arkadag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Arkadag have won more games recently than Sagadam.
  • Model gives Arkadag a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Yokary Liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Arkadag here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Arkadag Clean Sheet 20%
Sagadam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arkadag Sagadam
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 25 9
Draws 0 5
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 3.25 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.57 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Arkadag
0:3
May 30, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Arkadag
1:4
Apr 21, 2026 Yokary Liga
Arkadag vs Sagadam
3:2
Nov 9, 2025 Yokary Liga
Arkadag vs Sagadam
2:0
Aug 19, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Arkadag
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arkadag 85 / 100
Sagadam 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arkadag Sagadam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arkadag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arkadag found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Arkadag stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Sagadam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Arkadag VS Sagadam
3.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arkadag

(Home)
20 Sept
Kopetdag Asgabat
0 : 1
Arkadag
15 Sept
Arkadag
1 : 0
Al-Muharraq
05 Sept
Nebitci
2 : 4
Arkadag
30 Aug
Sagadam
0 : 3
Arkadag
26 Aug
Arkadag
3 : 0
FC Asgabat
Page 1 of 6

Sagadam

(Away)
19 Sept
Sagadam
0 : 2
Merw
12 Sept
Altyn Asyr
2 : 0
Sagadam
05 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Ahal
30 Aug
Sagadam
0 : 3
Arkadag
22 Aug
Sagadam
3 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arkadag 28 28 0 0 105:15 84
2 Ahal 28 17 4 7 54:26 55
3 Altyn Asyr 28 16 5 7 54:35 53
4 Sagadam 28 12 7 9 32:32 43
5 Nebitci 28 9 6 13 22:41 33
6 FC Asgabat 28 7 3 18 23:54 24
7 Kopetdag Asgabat 28 3 5 20 21:72 14
8 Merw 28 2 6 20 16:52 12
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)