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Arkadag vs Sagadam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
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AI Match Summary

Arkadag in this Yokary Liga matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arkadag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Arkadag
15%
Draws
28%
Sagadam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arkadag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sagadam haven't matched Arkadag's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Arkadag taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Arkadag have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Arkadag Clean Sheet 20%
Sagadam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arkadag Sagadam
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 31 8
Draws 0 4
Losses 1 17
Goals Scored 3.63 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.47 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2026 Yokary Liga
Arkadag vs Sagadam
4:0
Aug 30, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Arkadag
0:3
May 30, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Arkadag
1:4
Apr 21, 2026 Yokary Liga
Arkadag vs Sagadam
3:2
Nov 9, 2025 Yokary Liga
Arkadag vs Sagadam
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arkadag 85 / 100
Sagadam 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arkadag Sagadam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arkadag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arkadag found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (32 games).

Sagadam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Arkadag went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arkadag VS Sagadam
3 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arkadag

(Home)
19 Oct
Arkadag
4 : 0
Sagadam
14 Oct
Al Jazira
2 : 1
Arkadag
03 Oct
Arkadag
5 : 0
Kopetdag Asgabat
28 Sept
Ahal
0 : 4
Arkadag
24 Sept
Merw
0 : 5
Arkadag
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Sagadam

(Away)
19 Oct
Arkadag
4 : 0
Sagadam
11 Oct
Nebitci
2 : 1
Sagadam
19 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Merw
12 Sept
Altyn Asyr
2 : 0
Sagadam
05 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Ahal
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