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Armadale vs Balcatta

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Alfred Skeet Reserve, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Mathet A.
(Penalty)
13'
Stephenson R.
13'
Stephenson R.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Western Australia game between Armadale and Balcatta finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Armadale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Armadale
35%
Draws
24%
Balcatta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Armadale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Balcatta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Armadale are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular NPL Western Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Armadale Clean Sheet 10%
Balcatta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armadale Balcatta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.77 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.53 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Balcatta vs Armadale
3:3
May 9, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Armadale vs Balcatta
5:0
Jul 5, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Balcatta vs Armadale
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Armadale vs Balcatta
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Armadale vs Balcatta
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Armadale Compare

Top Goalscorer Desmond L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Balcatta Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armadale 40 / 100
Balcatta 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armadale Balcatta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Armadale's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Balcatta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Armadale has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Armadale VS Balcatta
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Armadale

(Home)
19 Sept
Armadale
3 : 0
UWA Nedlands
12 Sept
Armadale
1 : 1
Joondalup City
05 Sept
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Armadale
22 Aug
Armadale
0 : 4
Perth RedStar
15 Aug
Armadale
3 : 1
Dianella White Eagle
Page 1 of 6

Balcatta

(Away)
22 Aug
Balcatta
0 : 2
Dianella White Eagle
15 Aug
Western Knights
0 : 0
Balcatta
01 Aug
Balcatta
3 : 3
Armadale
25 Jul
Perth RedStar
0 : 0
Balcatta
18 Jul
Balcatta
2 : 0
Stirling Macedonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)