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Armadale vs Bayswater

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Alfred Skeet Reserve, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Palmateer L.
48' Event
Loughrey P.
55' Event
Loughrey P.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Western Australia game between Armadale and Bayswater finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayswater.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Armadale
35%
Draws
41%
Bayswater
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bayswater

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayswater come out ahead of Armadale on wins alone.
  • Bayswater are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bayswater have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Armadale Clean Sheet 10%
Bayswater Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armadale Bayswater
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.86 2.35
Goals Conceded 2.69 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Armadale vs Bayswater
0:5
Mar 6, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Bayswater vs Armadale
2:0
Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Armadale vs Bayswater
3:3
Jul 12, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Armadale vs Bayswater
0:4
Apr 17, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Bayswater vs Armadale
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Armadale Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Bayswater Compare

Top Goalscorer Loughrey P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Palmateer L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armadale 10 / 100
Bayswater 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armadale Bayswater

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayswater Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Armadale found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Bayswater conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Armadale has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Armadale VS Bayswater
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Armadale

(Home)
15 Aug
Armadale
3 : 1
Dianella White Eagle
01 Aug
Balcatta
3 : 3
Armadale
25 Jul
Stirling Macedonia
1 : 1
Armadale
18 Jul
Perth Glory U23
2 : 2
Armadale
04 Jul
Armadale
1 : 6
Olympic Kingsway
Page 1 of 6

Bayswater

(Away)
14 Aug
Bayswater
6 : 2
Stirling Macedonia
08 Aug
Bayswater
7 : 1
Sorrento
01 Aug
Olympic Kingsway
1 : 1
Bayswater
25 Jul
Perth Azzurri
0 : 2
Bayswater
21 Jul
Bayswater
1 : 5
Sydney FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 21 13 5 3 58:27 44
2 Olympic Kingsway 21 12 5 4 44:28 41
3 Perth RedStar 21 11 5 5 31:29 38
4 Perth Azzurri 21 9 8 4 50:40 35
5 Fremantle City 21 8 8 5 43:34 32
6 Stirling Macedonia 21 8 3 10 37:37 27
7 Western Knights 21 6 7 8 37:37 25
8 Sorrento 21 7 3 11 21:39 24
9 Perth Glory U23 21 5 6 10 41:43 21
10 Armadale 21 5 6 10 40:52 21
11 Dianella White Eagle 21 5 5 11 30:43 20
12 Balcatta 21 4 5 12 29:52 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)