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Armadale vs Joondalup City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Alfred Skeet Reserve, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Mathet A.
58' Event
Steer L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Armadale
30%
Draws
23%
Joondalup City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Armadale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Joondalup City lately — more wins on the board than Armadale.
  • Model gives Armadale a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Joondalup City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Armadale Clean Sheet 10%
Joondalup City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armadale Joondalup City
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.84 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Armadale vs Joondalup City
1:1
Sep 5, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Joondalup City vs Armadale
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Armadale Compare

Top Goalscorer Mathet A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Joondalup City Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armadale 65 / 100
Joondalup City 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armadale Joondalup City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Armadale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Armadale's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Joondalup City let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Armadale remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Armadale VS Joondalup City
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Armadale

(Home)
19 Sept
Armadale
3 : 0
UWA Nedlands
12 Sept
Armadale
1 : 1
Joondalup City
05 Sept
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Armadale
22 Aug
Armadale
0 : 4
Perth RedStar
15 Aug
Armadale
3 : 1
Dianella White Eagle
Page 1 of 7

Joondalup City

(Away)
12 Sept
Armadale
1 : 1
Joondalup City
05 Sept
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Armadale
22 Aug
Joondalup City
0 : 1
UWA Nedlands
15 Aug
Joondalup City
1 : 0
Curtin University
08 Aug
Inglewood Utd
1 : 1
Joondalup City
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Armadale 3
Joondalup City 2
UWA Nedlands 1
Mandurah City 0
Final
Armadale 3
UWA Nedlands 0