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Armadale vs Western Knights

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Alfred Skeet Reserve
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Sprigg L.
14' Event
Griffiths L.
33' Event
Tang J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Western Australia game between Armadale and Western Knights finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Western Knights.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Armadale
17%
Draws
70%
Western Knights
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Western Knights

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Western Knights carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Western Knights's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Armadale Clean Sheet 10%
Western Knights Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armadale Western Knights
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Western Knights vs Armadale
5:4
Feb 28, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Armadale vs Western Knights
1:4
Jun 28, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Western Knights vs Armadale
1:1
Apr 1, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Armadale vs Western Knights
4:2
Jul 13, 2024 NPL Western Australia
Armadale vs Western Knights
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Armadale Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffiths L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Western Knights Compare

Top Goalscorer Sprigg L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tang J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armadale 14 / 100
Western Knights 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armadale Western Knights

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Western Knights has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Armadale scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Armadale went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Armadale VS Western Knights
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Perth RedStar17114229:2037
2Bayswater17104342:2334
3Olympic Kingsway17103437:2533
4Perth Azzurri1887343:3431
5Fremantle City1877435:2728
6Stirling Macedonia1772832:2723
7Western Knights1865734:3323
8Dianella White Eagle1755728:3120
9Sorrento18621018:3120
10Armadale17431031:4515
11Perth Glory U2317341028:3613
12Balcatta17321224:4911